LCNB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LCNB - LCNB Corporation
$17.02
-0.17 (-0.99%)
▼
5d:
-2.46%
30d:
+3.97%
90d:
+12.34%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LCNB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.2% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LCNB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.2% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.57
Based on 6.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.01
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LCNB is currently trading at $17.02, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.27 to $17.15. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.4) is in line with its historical norms (9.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LCNB is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $17.20. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: LCNB has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LCNB is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $17.20. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: LCNB has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$16.27 -
$17.15
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($17.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.2% growth with -0.6% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$16.27 -
$17.15
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$15.95
Resistance Level
$17.20
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.40
Wall Street Target
$17.50
(+2.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-4.9%
Profit Margin
25.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.2% premium
PE vs Historical
9.4 vs 9.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.05
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$17.09
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$17.12
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$16.93
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 8.1%)
$49.74
(+192%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.4, Growth: 8.1%)
$21.48
(+26%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.0, Growth: 8.1%)
$18.25
(+7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.68 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.61
Bull Case
$21.26
(+25%)
Analyst growth 12.4%, PE expands to 11.7
Base Case
$19.33
(+14%)
Market implied 12.4%, PE stable at 10.7
Bear Case
$11.69
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 2:48 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:48 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:48 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LCNB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael Robert Miller
SELL
2759 shares
2026-02-04
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