LNG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LNG - Cheniere Energy Inc
$229.98
-4.24 (-1.81%)
▼
5d:
-0.38%
30d:
-4.51%
90d:
-21.93%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: LNG appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -6.0% annual earnings decline despite 146% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: LNG appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -6.0% annual earnings decline despite 146% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$386.39
Based on 6.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$239.92
4.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LNG is currently trading at $229.98, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $230.06 to $242.03. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.0) compared to its historical average (14.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 146.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LNG is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $223.83. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $303.41 (+29.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LNG is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $223.83. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $303.41 (+29.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$230.06 -
$242.03
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 29.5% below Wall St target ($303.41)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$230.06 -
$242.03
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$223.83
Resistance Level
$241.53
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.01
Wall Street Target
$303.41
(+29.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
24.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
146.4%
Profit Margin
7.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.0 vs 14.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$220.17
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$206.96
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$194.54
(-17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→15)
$234.95
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 8.9%)
$548.62
(+134%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.0, Growth: 8.9%)
$302.43
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.2, Growth: 8.9%)
$257.07
(+10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (39x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 39.06 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.91
Bull Case
$507.87
(+117%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 43.0
Base Case
$461.70
(+97%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 39.1
Bear Case
$156.98
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 33.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.0 to 14.5
Stabilization Target:
$282.87
(+20.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+20.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 11:48 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:48 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:48 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is LNG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Zach Davis
SELL
29000 shares
2026-03-30
Sean N Markowitz
SELL
22246 shares
2026-03-26
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