PEMBINA PIPELINE (PBA) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

PBA - PEMBINA PIPELINE CORPORATION

Oil & Gas Field Exploration Services
$47.81
-0.53 (-1.10%) ▼
5d: -1.63%
30d: -2.19%
90d: -1.75%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PBA shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$54.70
Based on 2.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$33.97
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.8x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: PBA is currently trading at $47.81, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $48.01 to $49.06. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.0) is in line with its historical norms (14.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, PBA is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $47.47. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $48.01 - $49.06
Company Quality Score 50/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 47.1%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (49/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($47.65)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $48.01 - $49.06
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $47.47
Resistance Level $49.53
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 14.96
Wall Street Target $47.65 (-0.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 20.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 26.2%
Profit Margin 22.4%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.3% premium
PE vs Historical 15.0 vs 14.8 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $47.95 (+0%)
2-Year Target $48.10 (+1%)
3-Year Target $48.24 (+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 15→15) PE COMPRESSION $47.74 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 1.9%) $68.16 (+43%)
Base: (SPY PE: 15.0, Growth: 1.9%) $50.54 (+6%)
Bear: (PE: 12.7, Growth: 1.9%) $42.96 (-10%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.93 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.02
Bull Case $84.15 (+76%)
Analyst growth 58.2%, PE expands to 26.3
Base Case $76.50 (+60%)
Market implied 58.2%, PE stable at 23.9
Bear Case $32.87 (-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: September 12, 2026 5:48 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:48 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Net
NEUTRAL

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