PBA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PBA - PEMBINA PIPELINE CORPORATION
$47.18
0.76 (1.64%)
▲
5d:
-1.15%
30d:
-4.34%
90d:
+4.52%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PBA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.2% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PBA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.2% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$50.34
Based on 2.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$31.26
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PBA is currently trading at $47.18, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $47.16 to $49.25. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.5) is in line with its historical norms (14.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth. This is a high bar to clear, indicating the stock may be priced for perfection.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PBA is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $46.44. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $40.67. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PBA is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $46.44. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $40.67. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$47.16 -
$49.25
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 13.8% above Wall St target ($40.67)
- BEARISH: Market expects 2.2% growth - appears too optimistic based on history
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$47.16 -
$49.25
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$46.44
Resistance Level
$49.56
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.48
Wall Street Target
$40.67
(-13.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-7.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
0.2%
Profit Margin
22.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.2% premium
PE vs Historical
15.5 vs 14.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$48.22
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$49.28
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$50.36
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$47.16
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 1.3%)
$69.05
(+46%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.5, Growth: 1.3%)
$49.09
(+4%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.2, Growth: 1.3%)
$41.72
(-12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.29 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.90
Bull Case
$81.41
(+75%)
Analyst growth 60.4%, PE expands to 26.7
Base Case
$74.01
(+59%)
Market implied 60.4%, PE stable at 24.3
Bear Case
$31.38
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 5:25 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:25 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:25 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PBA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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