PBA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PBA - PEMBINA PIPELINE CORPORATION
$48.73
-0.44 (-0.89%)
▼
5d:
-1.22%
30d:
-4.84%
90d:
-1.2%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PBA shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PBA shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$90.46
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$56.17
13.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PBA is currently trading at $48.73, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $48.29 to $50.62. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.7) is in line with its historical norms (14.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PBA is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $47.40. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: PBA scores 70/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PBA is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $47.40. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: PBA scores 70/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$48.29 -
$50.62
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
86.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (70/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($47.81)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 70/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$48.29 -
$50.62
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$47.40
Resistance Level
$49.81
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.67
Wall Street Target
$47.81
(-2.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
20.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
26.2%
Profit Margin
22.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.0% premium
PE vs Historical
15.7 vs 14.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$50.15
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$51.16
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$52.18
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$49.30
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 91.6%)
$64.74
(+32%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.7, Growth: 91.6%)
$50.53
(+3%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.3, Growth: 91.6%)
$42.95
(-13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.14 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.01
Bull Case
$83.34
(+71%)
Analyst growth 56.2%, PE expands to 26.6
Base Case
$75.77
(+56%)
Market implied 56.2%, PE stable at 24.1
Bear Case
$32.99
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 1:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:10 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:10 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PBA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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