PEMBINA PIPELINE (PBA) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PBA - PEMBINA PIPELINE CORPORATION
$45.72
0.44 (0.97%)
▲
5d:
+2.37%
30d:
-5.91%
90d:
-2.01%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PBA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: PBA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$55.18
Based on 3.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$34.26
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PBA is currently trading at $45.72, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $45.74 to $48.76. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.2) is in line with its historical norms (14.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 26.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PBA is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $44.12, while resistance sits at $47.90.
Market Sentiment: PBA scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PBA is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $44.12, while resistance sits at $47.90.
Market Sentiment: PBA scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$45.74 -
$48.76
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
85.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($46.75)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 20% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$45.74 -
$48.76
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$44.13
Resistance Level
$47.90
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.15
Wall Street Target
$46.75
(+3.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
20.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
26.2%
Profit Margin
22.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.2 vs 14.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$44.60
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$43.93
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$43.27
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→15)
$45.28
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 2.2%)
$69.77
(+54%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.1, Growth: 2.2%)
$48.38
(+7%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.0, Growth: 2.2%)
$41.12
(-9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.18 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.01
Bull Case
$78.10
(+73%)
Analyst growth 59.3%, PE expands to 24.4
Base Case
$71.00
(+57%)
Market implied 59.3%, PE stable at 22.2
Bear Case
$30.31
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.1 to 14.8
Stabilization Target:
$47.38
(+4.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 1:13 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:13 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:13 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PBA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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