PEMBINA PIPELINE (PBA) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PBA - PEMBINA PIPELINE CORPORATION
$49.51
-1.15 (-2.28%)
▼
5d:
+2.73%
30d:
+8.02%
90d:
-3.63%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
13d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PBA shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PBA shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$90.64
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$56.28
12.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PBA is currently trading at $49.51, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $45.41 to $48.88. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.1) is in line with its historical norms (14.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PBA is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $46.99, while resistance sits at $51.06.
Market Sentiment: PBA scores 36/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PBA is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $46.99, while resistance sits at $51.06.
Market Sentiment: PBA scores 36/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$45.41 -
$48.88
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
22.4%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (36/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($47.37)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$45.41 -
$48.88
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$46.99
Resistance Level
$51.06
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.11
Wall Street Target
$47.37
(-6.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
20.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
26.2%
Profit Margin
22.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.9% premium
PE vs Historical
16.1 vs 14.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$52.13
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$53.64
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$55.20
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$50.72
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 71.7%)
$63.82
(+26%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.1, Growth: 71.7%)
$51.76
(+2%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.7, Growth: 71.7%)
$43.99
(-13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.44 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.05
Bull Case
$84.57
(+67%)
Analyst growth 53.4%, PE expands to 26.9
Base Case
$76.88
(+52%)
Market implied 53.4%, PE stable at 24.4
Bear Case
$34.07
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 3:28 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:28 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:28 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PBA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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