LOW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LOW - Lowe's Companies Inc.
$220.25
-0.53 (-0.24%)
▼
5d:
+5.9%
30d:
-1.5%
90d:
-9.03%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 19, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LOW shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LOW shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$311.65
Based on 4.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$193.51
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LOW is currently trading at $220.25, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $210.91 to $223.90. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.1) compared to its historical average (19.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LOW is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $220.34. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: LOW has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $263.73 (+19.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LOW is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $220.34. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: LOW has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $263.73 (+19.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$210.91 -
$223.90
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($263.73)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$210.91 -
$223.90
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$203.40
Resistance Level
$220.34
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.06
Wall Street Target
$263.73
(+19.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-0.7%
Profit Margin
7.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.1 vs 19.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$212.83
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$205.17
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$197.78
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→19)
$221.39
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 5.5%)
$333.42
(+51%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.1, Growth: 5.5%)
$259.54
(+18%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.5, Growth: 5.5%)
$220.61
(0%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.69 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.83
Bull Case
$265.95
(+21%)
Analyst growth 9.4%, PE expands to 20.6
Base Case
$241.77
(+10%)
Market implied 9.4%, PE stable at 18.7
Bear Case
$150.31
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.1 to 19.1
Stabilization Target:
$247.13
(+11.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 15, 2026 3:29 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:29 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:29 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LOW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
5
Buys
5
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-30
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-10
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