LYTS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LYTS - LSI Industries Inc
$24.12
0.73 (3.12%)
▲
5d:
+3.74%
30d:
-5.74%
90d:
+0.96%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 20, 2026
15d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LYTS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.3% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LYTS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.3% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$33.53
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.82
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LYTS is currently trading at $24.12, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.25 to $25.51. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 17.3) compared to its historical average (15.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LYTS is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $24.26. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: LYTS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.33 (+25.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LYTS is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $24.26. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: LYTS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.33 (+25.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$23.25 -
$25.51
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 25.8% below Wall St target ($30.33)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.3% growth with 13.6% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$23.25 -
$25.51
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.13
(8.8%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$22.22
Resistance Level
$24.26
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.29
Wall Street Target
$30.33
(+25.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-53.6%
Profit Margin
3.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.3% premium
PE vs Historical
17.3 vs 15.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$24.92
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$25.74
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$26.59
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$24.14
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 13.9%)
$42.71
(+77%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.3, Growth: 13.9%)
$35.62
(+48%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.7, Growth: 13.9%)
$30.28
(+26%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.61 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.74
Bull Case
$48.50
(+101%)
Analyst growth 88.5%, PE expands to 34.8
Base Case
$44.09
(+83%)
Market implied 88.5%, PE stable at 31.6
Bear Case
$15.91
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 04, 2026 1:38 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:38 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:38 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LYTS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced LYTS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's LYTS price and gamma walls.
