LYTS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LYTS - LSI Industries Inc
$20.34
-0.28 (-1.36%)
▼
5d:
-18.18%
30d:
-13.15%
90d:
-9.96%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 20, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: LYTS is down 18.2% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: LYTS is down 18.2% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$33.75
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.95
2.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LYTS is currently trading at $20.34, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.08 to $24.86. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.6) is in line with its historical norms (15.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LYTS is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $19.61, while resistance sits at $25.41.
Market Sentiment: LYTS scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.33 (+49.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LYTS is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $19.61, while resistance sits at $25.41.
Market Sentiment: LYTS scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.33 (+49.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$23.08 -
$24.86
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding LYTS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 49.1% below Wall St target ($30.33)
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$23.08 -
$24.86
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$19.61
Resistance Level
$25.41
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.58
Wall Street Target
$30.33
(+49.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-53.6%
Profit Margin
3.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.6 vs 15.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.81
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$19.30
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$18.79
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→16)
$20.37
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 13.9%)
$41.35
(+103%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.6, Growth: 13.9%)
$30.04
(+48%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.4, Growth: 13.9%)
$25.53
(+26%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 32.73 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.63
Bull Case
$45.36
(+123%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 36.0
Base Case
$41.24
(+103%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 32.7
Bear Case
$14.02
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.6 to 15.8
Stabilization Target:
$22.04
(+8.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 2:53 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:53 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:53 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LYTS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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