LSI Industries (LYTS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LYTS - LSI Industries Inc
$21.25
0.31 (1.48%)
▲
5d:
+0.76%
30d:
+6.73%
90d:
-17.22%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: LYTS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: LYTS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$33.32
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.69
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LYTS is currently trading at $21.25, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.80 to $20.79. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.2) is in line with its historical norms (15.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LYTS is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $21.51. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: LYTS scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.00 (+41.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LYTS is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $21.51. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: LYTS scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.00 (+41.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$19.80 -
$20.79
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
33th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
36.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding LYTS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 33th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (33/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 41.2% below Wall St target ($30.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$19.80 -
$20.79
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.39
(11.3%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$19.94
Resistance Level
$21.51
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.23
Wall Street Target
$30.00
(+41.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
51.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-28.2%
Profit Margin
3.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.2 vs 15.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.08
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$20.91
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$20.74
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→16)
$21.24
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 13.9%)
$42.03
(+98%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.2, Growth: 13.9%)
$31.38
(+48%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.9, Growth: 13.9%)
$26.67
(+26%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.79 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.68
Bull Case
$46.07
(+117%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 33.9
Base Case
$41.88
(+97%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 30.8
Bear Case
$14.24
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.2 to 15.6
Stabilization Target:
$21.76
(+2.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 10:00 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:00 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:00 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LYTS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced LYTS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's LYTS price and gamma walls.
