LSI Industries (LYTS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LYTS - LSI Industries Inc
$20.03
0.44 (2.25%)
▲
5d:
-0.4%
30d:
-17.33%
90d:
-22.3%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: LYTS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: LYTS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$33.53
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.82
3.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LYTS is currently trading at $20.03, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.55 to $24.22. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.4) is in line with its historical norms (15.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LYTS is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $19.11, while resistance sits at $20.93.
Market Sentiment: LYTS scores 81/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Implied Volatility is high (90th percentile), indicating expensive options premiums. This environment often favors selling options or covered calls to generate income. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.00 (+49.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LYTS is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $19.11, while resistance sits at $20.93.
Market Sentiment: LYTS scores 81/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Implied Volatility is high (90th percentile), indicating expensive options premiums. This environment often favors selling options or covered calls to generate income. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.00 (+49.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$19.55 -
$24.22
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
90th percentile
(EVENT RISK)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding LYTS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Options expensive (IV 90th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (81/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 49.8% below Wall St target ($30.00)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 16% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$19.55 -
$24.22
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.82
(14.1%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$19.11
Resistance Level
$20.93
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.36
Wall Street Target
$30.00
(+49.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
51.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-28.2%
Profit Margin
3.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.4 vs 15.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.47
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$18.92
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$18.39
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→16)
$20.11
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 13.9%)
$41.55
(+108%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.4, Growth: 13.9%)
$29.58
(+48%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.2, Growth: 13.9%)
$25.14
(+26%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (29x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 29.24 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.67
Bull Case
$43.10
(+115%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 32.2
Base Case
$39.18
(+96%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 29.2
Bear Case
$13.32
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.4 to 15.7
Stabilization Target:
$21.90
(+9.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 3:52 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:52 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:52 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LYTS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced LYTS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's LYTS price and gamma walls.
