LSI Industries (LYTS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LYTS - LSI Industries Inc
$20.24
0.30 (1.53%)
â˛
5d:
+2.61%
30d:
-3.37%
90d:
-12.97%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
12d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: LYTS is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -2.7% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: LYTS is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -2.7% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$33.11
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.56
1.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LYTS is currently trading at $20.23, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.96 to $20.96. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.3) is in line with its historical norms (15.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LYTS is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $19.32, while resistance sits at $21.26.
Market Sentiment: LYTS scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.00 (+50.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LYTS is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $19.32, while resistance sits at $21.26.
Market Sentiment: LYTS scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.00 (+50.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$19.96 -
$20.96
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
33th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
80.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding LYTS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 33th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 50.5% below Wall St target ($30.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$19.96 -
$20.96
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
Âą$2.28
(11.3%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$19.32
Resistance Level
$21.26
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.29
Wall Street Target
$30.00
(+50.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
51.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-28.2%
Profit Margin
3.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.3 vs 15.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.39
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$18.87
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$18.36
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14â16)
$19.92
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 13.9%)
$40.91
(+105%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.3, Growth: 13.9%)
$29.43
(+48%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.1, Growth: 13.9%)
$25.02
(+26%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (29x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 28.94 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.68
Bull Case
$43.30
(+117%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 31.8
Base Case
$39.36
(+98%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 28.9
Bear Case
$13.38
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.3 to 15.5
Stabilization Target:
$21.62
(+8.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 2:44 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:44 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:44 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LYTS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced LYTS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's LYTS price and gamma walls.
