LYTS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

LYTS - LSI Industries Inc

ELECTRIC LIGHTING & WIRING EQUIPMENT
$22.84
-1.25 (-5.19%) ▼
5d: -7.68%
30d: -1.85%
90d: +9.97%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 20, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: LYTS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$30.86
Based on 8.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.16
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: LYTS is currently trading at $22.84, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.08 to $24.38. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.4) is in line with its historical norms (15.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.8% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, LYTS is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $22.00, while resistance sits at $24.80. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.2% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.50 (+33.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $23.08 - $24.38
Company Quality Score 51/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 82.3%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.2%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 33.5% below Wall St target ($30.50)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.8% growth with 13.6% revenue growth
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.7% 5-day decline

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $23.08 - $24.38
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$1.48 (6.5%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $22.00
Resistance Level $24.80
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 3, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 16.43
Wall Street Target $30.50 (+33.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 13.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -53.6%
Profit Margin 3.9%
Valuation Premium vs History +2.8% premium
PE vs Historical 16.4 vs 15.1 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +2.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $23.48 (+3%)
2-Year Target $24.14 (+6%)
3-Year Target $24.81 (+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 16→15) PE COMPRESSION $22.80 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.9, Growth: 12.1%) $42.90 (+88%)
Base: (SPY PE: 16.4, Growth: 12.1%) $32.17 (+41%)
Bear: (PE: 14.0, Growth: 12.1%) $27.35 (+20%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 33.43 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.74
Bull Case $51.12 (+110%)
Analyst growth 87.8%, PE expands to 36.8
Base Case $46.47 (+91%)
Market implied 87.8%, PE stable at 33.4
Bear Case $16.82 (-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: June 03, 2026 7:04 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:04 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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