LYTS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LYTS - LSI Industries Inc
$23.93
0.18 (0.76%)
▲
5d:
-3.93%
30d:
-7.18%
90d:
+22.84%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 20, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: LYTS shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: LYTS shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$33.32
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.69
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LYTS is currently trading at $23.93, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.16 to $26.32. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.1) is in line with its historical norms (15.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LYTS is showing support break momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $23.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.33 (+26.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LYTS is showing support break momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $23.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.33 (+26.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$24.16 -
$26.32
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
48th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
80.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 48th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.8% below Wall St target ($30.33)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.1% growth with 13.6% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$24.16 -
$26.32
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$3.86
(16.1%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$23.50
Resistance Level
$27.04
Current Trend
Support Break
Technical data as of
Jul 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.15
Wall Street Target
$30.33
(+26.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-53.6%
Profit Margin
3.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.1% premium
PE vs Historical
17.2 vs 15.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$24.67
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$25.44
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$26.23
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$23.85
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 13.9%)
$44.87
(+88%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.2, Growth: 13.9%)
$35.34
(+48%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.6, Growth: 13.9%)
$30.04
(+26%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 32.65 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.74
Bull Case
$50.10
(+111%)
Analyst growth 88.5%, PE expands to 35.9
Base Case
$45.54
(+92%)
Market implied 88.5%, PE stable at 32.7
Bear Case
$16.43
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 5:55 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:55 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:55 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LYTS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced LYTS Option Strategies
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