LYTS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LYTS - LSI Industries Inc
$26.02
0.46 (1.80%)
▲
5d:
+4.29%
30d:
+11.87%
90d:
+30.03%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 20, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LYTS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.1% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LYTS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.1% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$32.89
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.42
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LYTS is currently trading at $26.02, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.15 to $25.51. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 18.3) compared to its historical average (15.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LYTS is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $24.31, while resistance sits at $27.00.
Market Sentiment: LYTS has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.33 (+18.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LYTS is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $24.31, while resistance sits at $27.00.
Market Sentiment: LYTS has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.33 (+18.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$23.15 -
$25.51
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
36th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
64.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 36th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($30.33)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 6.1% growth with 13.6% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$23.15 -
$25.51
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.24
(8.6%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.31
Resistance Level
$27.00
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 24, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.32
Wall Street Target
$30.33
(+18.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-53.6%
Profit Margin
3.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.1% premium
PE vs Historical
18.3 vs 15.4
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$27.12
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$28.77
(+13%)
3-Year Target
$30.53
(+19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$25.66
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 13.9%)
$44.87
(+76%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.3, Growth: 13.9%)
$37.75
(+48%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.4, Growth: 13.9%)
$31.73
(+24%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 35.19 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.74
Bull Case
$54.00
(+111%)
Analyst growth 88.5%, PE expands to 38.7
Base Case
$49.09
(+92%)
Market implied 88.5%, PE stable at 35.2
Bear Case
$17.71
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 1:50 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:50 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:50 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LYTS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced LYTS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's LYTS price and gamma walls.
