LYTS LSI Industries Inc ELECTRIC LIGHTING & WIRING EQUIPMENT

LSI Industries (LYTS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$15.22
-0.74 (-4.64%) β–Ό
5d: -14.45% 30d: -24.24% 90d: -38.78%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (56%)
Quality Score
40/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$17.91 – $21.35
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
11.4x CHEAP
vs 15.4x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$28.00
+75.4% upside
Options IV & Volume
38th pct IV
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$15.19 / $21.74
Trend: Strong Downtrend
πŸ’‘Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: LYTS is down 14.4% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$32.89
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.42
25.5% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: LYTS is currently trading at $15.22, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.91 to $21.35. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.4) compared to its historical average (15.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, LYTS is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $15.19. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.6% recently.

Market Sentiment: LYTS scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.00 (+75.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $17.91 - $21.35
Company Quality Score 40/100 (SELL)
Options IV Signal 38th percentile (NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 55.8%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $17.91 - $21.35
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days) Β±$1.66 (10.9%)
Support Level $15.19
Resistance Level $21.74
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Nov 12, 2026

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Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 38th percentile)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.6%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 75.4% below Wall St target ($28.00)
  • WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile β€” this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 11.44
Wall Street Target $28.00 (+75.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 43.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -17.4%
Profit Margin 3.0%
Valuation Discount vs History -9.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical 11.4 vs 15.4 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -9.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $14.44 (-10%)
2-Year Target $13.07 (-18%)
3-Year Target $11.83 (-26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 11β†’15) $15.92 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 13.9%) $40.91 (+156%)
Base: (SPY PE: 11.4, Growth: 13.9%) $23.57 (+48%)
Bear: (PE: 9.7, Growth: 13.9%) $20.03 (+26%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.11 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.61
Bull Case $35.05 (+120%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 28.7
Base Case $31.86 (+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 26.1
Bear Case $10.83 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.4 to 15.4
Stabilization Target: $21.48 (+34.6%)
PE Expansion Potential: +34.6%
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (LYTS)

Bullish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Jul 8, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: StockTwits messages indicate bullish sentiment for $LYTS with the hashtag ENTA, suggesting potential news or developments related to the biotech industry or Entainment AI, Inc.
Key Retail Themes: Biotech industry Entainment AI, Inc.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 3:44 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:44 PM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Part A: Deep-Dive LYTS Research Pages
LYTS Technical Chart LYTS Price Prediction LYTS Intrinsic Value DCF LYTS Earnings Date Why is LYTS Moving Today? LYTS Investment Advisor LYTS Fair Price Analyzer LYTS Options Chain LYTS Options Advisor LYTS Options Analysis LYTS Competitors
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