MDLZ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MDLZ - Mondelez International, Inc. Class A
$62.04
1.05 (1.72%)
▲
5d:
+1.42%
30d:
+0.27%
90d:
+6.23%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 5, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.4/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MDLZ shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MDLZ shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$85.25
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$52.94
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MDLZ is currently trading at $62.04, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $60.23 to $62.18. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.3) is in line with its historical norms (17.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MDLZ is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $62.55. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MDLZ is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $62.55. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$60.23 -
$62.18
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($67.21)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$60.23 -
$62.18
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$59.95
Resistance Level
$62.56
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.32
Wall Street Target
$67.21
(+8.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
41.3%
Profit Margin
6.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.3% premium
PE vs Historical
18.3 vs 17.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$62.85
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$63.66
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$64.49
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→18)
PE COMPRESSION
$61.95
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 10.9%)
$101.08
(+63%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.3, Growth: 10.9%)
$84.52
(+36%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.6, Growth: 10.9%)
$71.85
(+16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.19 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.02
Bull Case
$112.47
(+81%)
Analyst growth 67.6%, PE expands to 33.2
Base Case
$102.24
(+65%)
Market implied 67.6%, PE stable at 30.2
Bear Case
$41.47
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 07, 2026 1:04 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:04 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:04 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MDLZ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-30
Gustavo Carlos Valle
SELL
3000 shares
2026-02-13
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