Mondelez International (MDLZ) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MDLZ - Mondelez International, Inc. Class A
$57.84
0.08 (0.13%)
▲
5d:
-4.01%
30d:
-7.39%
90d:
-2.26%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
24d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MDLZ shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MDLZ shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$84.45
Based on 7.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$52.44
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MDLZ is currently trading at $57.84, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $59.79 to $62.96. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.2) is in line with its historical norms (17.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 144.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MDLZ is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $57.35. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $69.23 (+19.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MDLZ is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $57.35. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $69.23 (+19.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$59.79 -
$62.96
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding MDLZ? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (51/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($69.23)
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$59.79 -
$62.96
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$57.35
Resistance Level
$62.19
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.18
Wall Street Target
$69.23
(+19.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
144.9%
Profit Margin
8.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.2 vs 17.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$57.01
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$56.27
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$55.54
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→18)
$57.55
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 10.3%)
$92.15
(+60%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.2, Growth: 10.3%)
$77.59
(+34%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.6, Growth: 10.3%)
$65.95
(+14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.74 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.66
Bull Case
$80.41
(+39%)
Analyst growth 26.4%, PE expands to 23.9
Base Case
$73.10
(+27%)
Market implied 26.4%, PE stable at 21.7
Bear Case
$39.32
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.2 to 17.8
Stabilization Target:
$59.86
(+3.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 12:14 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:14 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:14 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MDLZ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MDLZ price and gamma walls.
