MDLZ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MDLZ - Mondelez International, Inc. Class A
$59.51
-0.61 (-1.01%)
▼
5d:
-5.52%
30d:
-3.77%
90d:
+5.87%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 9.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MDLZ shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: MDLZ shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$85.74
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$53.24
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MDLZ is currently trading at $59.51, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $60.63 to $62.61. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.6) is in line with its historical norms (17.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 41.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MDLZ is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $59.95. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $67.21 (+12.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MDLZ is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $59.95. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $67.21 (+12.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$60.63 -
$62.61
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding MDLZ? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($67.21)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.5% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$60.63 -
$62.61
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$59.95
Resistance Level
$63.29
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.57
Wall Street Target
$67.21
(+12.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
41.3%
Profit Margin
6.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.6 vs 17.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$59.39
(0%)
2-Year Target
$59.27
(0%)
3-Year Target
$59.15
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→18)
$59.58
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 10.9%)
$100.48
(+69%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.6, Growth: 10.9%)
$81.08
(+36%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.9, Growth: 10.9%)
$68.92
(+16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 29.76 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.02
Bull Case
$110.86
(+86%)
Analyst growth 67.6%, PE expands to 32.7
Base Case
$100.78
(+69%)
Market implied 67.6%, PE stable at 29.8
Bear Case
$40.88
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.6 to 17.7
Stabilization Target:
$59.94
(+0.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 3:32 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:32 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:32 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MDLZ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-30
Gustavo Carlos Valle
SELL
3000 shares
2026-02-13
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