MDLZ
Mondelez International, Inc. Class A
FOOD AND KINDRED PRODUCTS
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Mondelez International (MDLZ) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$67.54
+0.98 (+1.47%)
▲
5d:
+2.3%
30d:
+7.16%
90d:
+8.62%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
0d
Protect MDLZ Gains
Updated Nov 13, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (25%)
Quality Score
37/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$61.17 – $66.20
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
19.8x
FAIR
vs 18.0x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$70.45
+5.9% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$64.69 / $68.75
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MDLZ shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Oct 29, 2026 at $62.53 · last confirmed Nov 9, 2026
Strength: 7.3/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$85.02
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$52.79
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MDLZ is currently trading at $67.54, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $61.17 to $66.20. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.8) is in line with its historical norms (18.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MDLZ is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $68.75. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MDLZ scores 23/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MDLZ is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $68.75. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MDLZ scores 23/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$61.17 -
$66.20
Company Quality Score
37/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
24.8%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$61.17 -
$66.20
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$64.69
Resistance Level
$68.75
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 13, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding MDLZ? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (23/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($70.45)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 36/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.79
Wall Street Target
$70.45
(+5.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
78.9%
Profit Margin
10.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.3% premium
PE vs Historical
19.8 vs 18.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$68.76
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$71.03
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$73.37
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→18)
PE COMPRESSION
$66.73
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 10.1%)
$89.27
(+34%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.8, Growth: 10.1%)
$88.95
(+34%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.8, Growth: 10.1%)
$75.61
(+14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.97 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.18
Bull Case
$77.60
(+17%)
Analyst growth 5.8%, PE expands to 23.1
Base Case
$70.54
(+6%)
Market implied 5.8%, PE stable at 21.0
Bear Case
$45.36
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (MDLZ)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 3, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Mondelez's Q3 earnings surpassed expectations, driven by operational discipline and emerging market growth.
Key Retail Themes:
Operational Discipline
Emerging Market Expansion
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 13, 2026 3:46 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:46 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:46 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is MDLZ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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