MDLZ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MDLZ - Mondelez International, Inc. Class A
$62.31
-0.77 (-1.22%)
▼
5d:
+2.96%
30d:
+4.99%
90d:
+1.42%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.2/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MDLZ is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: MDLZ is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$84.97
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$52.76
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MDLZ is currently trading at $62.31, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $58.97 to $61.96. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.7) is in line with its historical norms (17.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MDLZ is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $59.09, while resistance sits at $66.65.
Market Sentiment: MDLZ has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MDLZ is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $59.09, while resistance sits at $66.65.
Market Sentiment: MDLZ has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$58.97 -
$61.96
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($67.27)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$58.97 -
$61.96
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$59.10
Resistance Level
$66.65
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.71
Wall Street Target
$67.27
(+6.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
41.3%
Profit Margin
6.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.9% premium
PE vs Historical
18.7 vs 17.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$64.28
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$65.50
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$66.74
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→18)
PE COMPRESSION
$63.14
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.8, Growth: 10.7%)
$95.05
(+51%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.7, Growth: 10.7%)
$85.46
(+36%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.9, Growth: 10.7%)
$72.64
(+15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.95 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.10
Bull Case
$114.77
(+84%)
Analyst growth 60.5%, PE expands to 34.0
Base Case
$104.34
(+67%)
Market implied 60.5%, PE stable at 31.0
Bear Case
$44.19
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 1:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:32 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:32 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MDLZ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-30
Gustavo Carlos Valle
SELL
3000 shares
2026-02-13
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