Is MDLZ stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, MDLZ is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MDLZ shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of MDLZ stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for MDLZ to be between $60.30 and $63.49. The current price is $64.45.

What is the analyst price target for MDLZ?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for MDLZ is $69.13. This implies a potential upside of 7.3% from current levels.

MDLZ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

MDLZ - Mondelez International, Inc. Class A

FOOD AND KINDRED PRODUCTS

$64.45

0.31 (0.48%) ▲

5d: +1.32%

30d: +7.33%

90d: +4.8%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Oct 27, 2026

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 10, 2026 at $61.52 · last confirmed Aug 18, 2026

Strength: 5.7/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MDLZ shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 10.3%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$84.40

Based on 7.2% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$52.40

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.8x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: MDLZ is currently trading at $64.45, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $60.30 to $63.49. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.2) is in line with its historical norms (17.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, MDLZ is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $64.77. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Historical Trading Range $60.30 - $63.49

Company Quality Score 48/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 47.1%

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All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (50/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($69.13)
NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $60.30 - $63.49

Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $60.85

Resistance Level $64.77

Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 19.18

Wall Street Target $69.13 (+7.3%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 4.1%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 144.9%

Profit Margin 8.9%

Valuation Premium vs History +2.6% premium

PE vs Historical 19.2 vs 17.8 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +2.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $66.13 (+3%)

2-Year Target $67.84 (+5%)

3-Year Target $69.61 (+8%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 19→18) PE COMPRESSION $64.61 (+0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.1, Growth: 10.3%) $90.59 (+41%)

Base: (SPY PE: 19.2, Growth: 10.3%) $86.56 (+34%)

Bear: (PE: 16.3, Growth: 10.3%) $73.58 (+14%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (39x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 39.11 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.64

Bull Case $141.11 (+119%)

Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 43.0

Base Case $128.28 (+99%)

Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 39.1

Bear Case $43.62 (-32%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 33.2

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

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Last updated: August 22, 2026 3:37 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:37 PM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

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Net

NEUTRAL

Recent Transactions

Ro Khanna BUY 2026-03-30

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