MOFG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

MOFG - MidWestOne Financial Group

STATE COMMERCIAL BANKS
$49.31
1.13 (2.35%) ▲
5d: +2.35%
30d: +19.34%
90d: +25.47%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Feb 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 23, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: MOFG is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 4.3% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$84.69
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$52.59
6.2% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: MOFG is currently trading at $49.31, which is considered fair based on recent price action. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 12.9) compared to its historical average (11.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.3% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, MOFG is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $49.69. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: MOFG scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $37.33. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Company Quality Score 41/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation UNKNOWN
Confidence Score 72.4%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BEARISH: Trading 24.3% above Wall St target ($37.33)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.3% growth with -14.6% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $46.17
Resistance Level $49.69
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Feb 13, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 12.93
Wall Street Target $37.33 (-24.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -14.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -52.1%
Profit Margin 26.4%
Valuation Premium vs History +4.3% premium
PE vs Historical 12.9 vs 11.4 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +4.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $51.43 (+4%)
2-Year Target $53.64 (+9%)
3-Year Target $55.95 (+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 13→11) PE COMPRESSION $49.35 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.6, Growth: 28.9%) $184.51 (+274%)
Base: (SPY PE: 12.9, Growth: 28.9%) $105.57 (+114%)
Bear: (PE: 11.0, Growth: 28.9%) $89.74 (+82%)
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Last updated: August 25, 2026 4:30 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:30 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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