MPTI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MPTI - M-tron Industries, Inc.
$79.54
-1.47 (-1.81%)
▼
5d:
-9.66%
30d:
-4.83%
90d:
-4.17%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MPTI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MPTI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$133.72
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$83.03
4.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MPTI is currently trading at $79.54, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $79.58 to $87.05. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 26.8) compared to its historical average (22.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MPTI is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $76.29, while resistance sits at $90.21.
Market Sentiment: MPTI scores 27/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MPTI is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $76.29, while resistance sits at $90.21.
Market Sentiment: MPTI scores 27/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$79.58 -
$87.05
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (27/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($85.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.7% growth with 13.8% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$79.58 -
$87.05
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$76.29
Resistance Level
$90.21
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.78
Wall Street Target
$85.50
(+5.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-18.9%
Profit Margin
16.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.7% premium
PE vs Historical
26.8 vs 22.7
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$85.63
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$90.51
(+12%)
3-Year Target
$95.67
(+18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27→23)
PE COMPRESSION
$81.09
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 26.8, Growth: 39.4%)
$219.45
(+171%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 39.4%)
$164.46
(+103%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 39.4%)
$139.79
(+73%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (27x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.68 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.55
Bull Case
$105.41
(+30%)
Analyst growth 18.6%, PE expands to 34.9
Base Case
$95.83
(+18%)
Market implied 18.6%, PE stable at 31.7
Bear Case
$54.93
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 10:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:10 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:10 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MPTI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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