MPTI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MPTI - M-tron Industries, Inc.
$83.57
1.19 (1.44%)
▲
5d:
-2.06%
30d:
-8.19%
90d:
+23.95%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 11, 2026
6d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MPTI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MPTI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$153.79
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$95.49
12.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MPTI is currently trading at $83.57, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $78.89 to $92.43. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 23.8) is in line with its historical norms (22.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MPTI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $77.08, while resistance sits at $87.87.
Market Sentiment: MPTI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MPTI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $77.08, while resistance sits at $87.87.
Market Sentiment: MPTI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$78.89 -
$92.43
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($84.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$78.89 -
$92.43
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$77.09
Resistance Level
$87.87
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.81
Wall Street Target
$84.00
(+0.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
19.6%
Profit Margin
16.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.8% premium
PE vs Historical
23.8 vs 22.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$85.07
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$86.61
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$88.16
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24→23)
PE COMPRESSION
$83.32
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.8, Growth: 32.0%)
$192.01
(+130%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 32.0%)
$167.18
(+100%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 32.0%)
$142.10
(+70%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.20 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.64
Bull Case
$120.48
(+44%)
Analyst growth 33.0%, PE expands to 34.3
Base Case
$109.53
(+31%)
Market implied 33.0%, PE stable at 31.2
Bear Case
$56.02
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 9:54 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:54 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:54 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MPTI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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