MPTI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MPTI - M-tron Industries, Inc.
$93.10
-0.09 (-0.10%)
▼
5d:
-2.71%
30d:
+12.17%
90d:
+45.72%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 11, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MPTI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MPTI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$151.06
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$93.80
0.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MPTI is currently trading at $93.10, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $83.75 to $96.52. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 26.6) compared to its historical average (22.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MPTI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $83.78, while resistance sits at $96.00.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MPTI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $83.78, while resistance sits at $96.00.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$83.75 -
$96.52
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
64.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($84.00)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 6.2% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$83.75 -
$96.52
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$83.78
Resistance Level
$96.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.55
Wall Street Target
$84.00
(-9.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
19.6%
Profit Margin
16.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.2% premium
PE vs Historical
26.6 vs 22.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$98.97
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$105.10
(+13%)
3-Year Target
$111.62
(+20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27→22)
PE COMPRESSION
$92.91
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 26.5, Growth: 32.0%)
$214.11
(+130%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 32.0%)
$175.65
(+89%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 32.0%)
$149.30
(+60%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (36x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (27x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 36.16 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.64
Bull Case
$139.61
(+50%)
Analyst growth 33.0%, PE expands to 39.8
Base Case
$126.92
(+36%)
Market implied 33.0%, PE stable at 36.2
Bear Case
$64.91
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 11:13 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:13 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:13 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MPTI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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