MPTI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MPTI - M-tron Industries, Inc.
$90.93
-0.65 (-0.71%)
▼
5d:
+5.73%
30d:
+27.91%
90d:
+35.88%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 12, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MPTI trades at premium valuation expecting 6.2% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: MPTI trades at premium valuation expecting 6.2% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$147.64
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$91.67
0.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MPTI is currently trading at $90.93, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $69.06 to $86.46. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 25.9) compared to its historical average (21.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MPTI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $93.47. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MPTI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MPTI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $93.47. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MPTI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$69.06 -
$86.46
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
49.0%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.2% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($84.00)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 6.2% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$69.06 -
$86.46
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$77.25
Resistance Level
$93.48
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.91
Wall Street Target
$84.00
(-7.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
19.6%
Profit Margin
16.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.2% premium
PE vs Historical
25.9 vs 21.6
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$96.57
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$102.55
(+13%)
3-Year Target
$108.91
(+20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26→22)
PE COMPRESSION
$90.81
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.9, Growth: 32.0%)
$208.92
(+130%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.9, Growth: 32.0%)
$176.70
(+94%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.6, Growth: 32.0%)
$150.19
(+65%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (26x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 32.21 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.67
Bull Case
$124.36
(+42%)
Analyst growth 31.5%, PE expands to 35.4
Base Case
$113.06
(+29%)
Market implied 31.5%, PE stable at 32.2
Bear Case
$58.48
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 6:21 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:21 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:21 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MPTI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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