M-tron Industries (MPTI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MPTI - M-tron Industries, Inc.
$77.11
0.15 (0.19%)
â˛
5d:
+4.13%
30d:
+5.62%
90d:
-15.18%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 11, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: MPTI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 4.4% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: MPTI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 4.4% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$104.48
Based on 9.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$64.87
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MPTI is currently trading at $77.11, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $74.03 to $78.02. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 26.4) compared to its historical average (23.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MPTI is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $72.49, while resistance sits at $79.42.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $89.00 (+15.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MPTI is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $72.49, while resistance sits at $79.42.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $89.00 (+15.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$74.03 -
$78.02
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (50/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($89.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.4% growth with 13.8% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$74.03 -
$78.02
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$72.49
Resistance Level
$79.43
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.45
Wall Street Target
$89.00
(+15.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-18.9%
Profit Margin
16.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.4% premium
PE vs Historical
26.5 vs 23.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$80.50
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$84.04
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$87.74
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26â23)
PE COMPRESSION
$76.95
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 26.5, Growth: 14.3%)
$115.19
(+49%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 14.3%)
$88.83
(+15%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 14.3%)
$75.51
(-2%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (26x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.18 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.55
Bull Case
$96.77
(+26%)
Analyst growth 14.3%, PE expands to 33.2
Base Case
$87.98
(+14%)
Market implied 14.3%, PE stable at 30.2
Bear Case
$52.33
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 4:14 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:14 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:14 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MPTI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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