M-tron Industries (MPTI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MPTI - M-tron Industries, Inc.
$79.49
2.46 (3.19%)
▲
5d:
+9.63%
30d:
-7.01%
90d:
-17.5%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MPTI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MPTI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$101.04
Based on 8.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$62.74
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MPTI is currently trading at $79.49, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $76.08 to $86.01. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 27.5) compared to its historical average (23.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MPTI is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $81.25. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: MPTI scores 85/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $89.00 (+12.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MPTI is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $81.25. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: MPTI scores 85/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $89.00 (+12.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$76.08 -
$86.01
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
89.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (85/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($89.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 6.1% growth with 13.8% revenue growth
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 85/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$76.08 -
$86.01
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$71.82
Resistance Level
$81.25
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.46
Wall Street Target
$89.00
(+12.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-18.9%
Profit Margin
16.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.1% premium
PE vs Historical
27.5 vs 23.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$84.34
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$89.48
(+13%)
3-Year Target
$94.94
(+19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27→23)
PE COMPRESSION
$79.53
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.5, Growth: 13.5%)
$116.32
(+46%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 13.5%)
$85.44
(+8%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 13.5%)
$72.63
(-9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (27x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.06 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.48
Bull Case
$98.91
(+24%)
Analyst growth 16.7%, PE expands to 34.2
Base Case
$89.92
(+13%)
Market implied 16.7%, PE stable at 31.1
Bear Case
$52.38
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 12:21 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:21 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:21 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MPTI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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