MPTI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

MPTI - M-tron Industries, Inc.

ELECTRONIC COMPONENTS, NEC
$90.93
-0.65 (-0.71%) ▼
5d: +5.73%
30d: +27.91%
90d: +35.88%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 12, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MPTI trades at premium valuation expecting 6.2% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$147.64
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$91.67
0.8% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.6x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: MPTI is currently trading at $90.93, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $69.06 to $86.46. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 25.9) compared to its historical average (21.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, MPTI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $93.47. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: MPTI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $69.06 - $86.46
Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 49.0%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.2% above its trading range)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($84.00)
  • NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 6.2% growth which is achievable

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $69.06 - $86.46
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $77.25
Resistance Level $93.48
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 3, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 25.91
Wall Street Target $84.00 (-7.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 15.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 19.6%
Profit Margin 16.3%
Valuation Premium vs History +6.2% premium
PE vs Historical 25.9 vs 21.6 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +6.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $96.57 (+6%)
2-Year Target $102.55 (+13%)
3-Year Target $108.91 (+20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 26→22) PE COMPRESSION $90.81 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 25.9, Growth: 32.0%) $208.92 (+130%)
Base: (SPY PE: 21.9, Growth: 32.0%) $176.70 (+94%)
Bear: (PE: 18.6, Growth: 32.0%) $150.19 (+65%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (26x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 32.21 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.67
Bull Case $124.36 (+42%)
Analyst growth 31.5%, PE expands to 35.4
Base Case $113.06 (+29%)
Market implied 31.5%, PE stable at 32.2
Bear Case $58.48 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: June 03, 2026 6:21 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:21 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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