NAT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NAT - Nordic American Tanker
$6.97
-0.02 (-0.29%)
▼
5d:
+3.87%
30d:
+8.57%
90d:
+26.73%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 27, 2026
3d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NAT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NAT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1.23
Based on -25.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$0.76
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NAT is currently trading at $6.97, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.19 to $6.73. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.6) is in line with its historical norms (17.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NAT is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $6.02, while resistance sits at $7.20.
Market Sentiment: NAT scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $6.00. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NAT is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $6.02, while resistance sits at $7.20.
Market Sentiment: NAT scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $6.00. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$6.19 -
$6.73
Company Quality Score
34/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
20.0%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 13.9% above Wall St target ($6.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 34/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$6.19 -
$6.73
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$6.02
Resistance Level
$7.20
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.59
Wall Street Target
$6.00
(-13.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
104.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
990.3%
Profit Margin
16.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.7% premium
PE vs Historical
18.6 vs 17.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.09
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$7.21
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$7.33
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→18)
PE COMPRESSION
$6.98
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: -55.1%)
$5.49
(+-21%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.6, Growth: -55.1%)
$5.08
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.8, Growth: -55.1%)
$4.32
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.88 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.26
Bull Case
$11.09
(+59%)
Analyst growth 44.2%, PE expands to 29.6
Base Case
$10.08
(+45%)
Market implied 44.2%, PE stable at 26.9
Bear Case
$4.75
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 5:48 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:48 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:48 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NAT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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