Nordic American Tanker (NAT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NAT - Nordic American Tanker
$8.42
0.25 (3.06%)
▲
5d:
+9.07%
30d:
+19.09%
90d:
+44.43%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 27, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NAT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NAT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$3.13
Based on -15.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$1.94
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NAT is currently trading at $8.42, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.97 to $7.99. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.5) is in line with its historical norms (17.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NAT is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $8.43. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $6.50. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NAT is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $8.43. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $6.50. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$6.97 -
$7.99
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
42.4%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.4% above its trading range)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (50/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.1%)
- BEARISH: Trading 22.8% above Wall St target ($6.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$6.97 -
$7.99
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$7.36
Resistance Level
$8.43
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.51
Wall Street Target
$6.50
(-22.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
97.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
990.3%
Profit Margin
33.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.8% premium
PE vs Historical
18.5 vs 17.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.57
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$8.73
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$8.88
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→18)
PE COMPRESSION
$8.45
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: -35.9%)
$6.77
(+-20%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.5, Growth: -35.9%)
$6.14
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.7, Growth: -35.9%)
$5.22
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 14.09 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.58
Bull Case
$7.05
(-16%)
Analyst growth -21.6%, PE expands to 15.5
Base Case
$6.41
(-24%)
Market implied -21.6%, PE stable at 14.1
Bear Case
$5.56
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 12:24 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:24 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:24 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NAT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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