Nordic American Tanker (NAT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NAT - Nordic American Tanker
$7.54
-0.04 (-0.53%)
▼
5d:
-3.58%
30d:
-1.05%
90d:
+16.9%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 27, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NAT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NAT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$2.54
Based on -18.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$1.58
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NAT is currently trading at $7.54, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.62 to $8.38. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.6) is in line with its historical norms (17.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 990.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NAT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $7.30, while resistance sits at $8.88.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NAT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $7.30, while resistance sits at $8.88.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$7.62 -
$8.38
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($7.50)
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$7.62 -
$8.38
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$7.30
Resistance Level
$8.88
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.57
Wall Street Target
$7.50
(-0.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
97.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
990.3%
Profit Margin
33.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.6 vs 17.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.39
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$7.24
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$7.10
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→18)
$7.54
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -41.7%)
$6.59
(+-13%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.6, Growth: -41.7%)
$5.50
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.1, Growth: -41.7%)
$4.67
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 12.85 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.59
Bull Case
$6.43
(-15%)
Analyst growth -22.9%, PE expands to 14.1
Base Case
$5.85
(-23%)
Market implied -22.9%, PE stable at 12.9
Bear Case
$5.15
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.6 to 17.6
Stabilization Target:
$8.01
(+6.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 5:14 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:14 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:14 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NAT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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