NAT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NAT - Nordic American Tanker
$6.42
-0.12 (-1.76%)
▼
5d:
-0.7%
30d:
+10.41%
90d:
+11.37%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 27, 2026
23d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NAT is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: NAT is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1.23
Based on -25.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$0.76
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NAT is currently trading at $6.42, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.88 to $6.46. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.8) is in line with its historical norms (17.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NAT is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $6.13, while resistance sits at $6.73.
Market Sentiment: NAT has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NAT is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $6.13, while resistance sits at $6.73.
Market Sentiment: NAT has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$5.88 -
$6.46
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($6.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$5.88 -
$6.46
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$6.13
Resistance Level
$6.73
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.76
Wall Street Target
$6.00
(-9.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
104.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
990.3%
Profit Margin
16.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.2% premium
PE vs Historical
17.8 vs 17.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$6.67
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$6.69
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$6.70
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→18)
PE COMPRESSION
$6.68
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.8, Growth: -55.1%)
$5.69
(+-15%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.8, Growth: -55.1%)
$4.86
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.1, Growth: -55.1%)
$4.13
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.65 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.26
Bull Case
$10.17
(+56%)
Analyst growth 44.2%, PE expands to 27.1
Base Case
$9.25
(+42%)
Market implied 44.2%, PE stable at 24.7
Bear Case
$4.36
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 1:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:40 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:40 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NAT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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