Nordic American Tanker (NAT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$6.72
+0.22 (+3.38%)
▲
5d:
-4.27%
30d:
-23.55%
90d:
+1.66%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
HIGH Confidence (95%)
Quality Score
64/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$7.03 – $8.36
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
7.6x
CHEAP
vs 17.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$8.50
+26.5% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$6.11 / $8.12
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NAT appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -23.7% annual earnings decline despite 990% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.39
Based on -0.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.93
24.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NAT is currently trading at $6.72, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.03 to $8.36. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.6) compared to its historical average (17.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 23.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 990.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NAT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $6.11, while resistance sits at $8.12. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: NAT scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.50 (+26.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NAT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $6.11, while resistance sits at $8.12. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: NAT scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.50 (+26.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$7.03 -
$8.36
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
95.2%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$7.03 -
$8.36
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$6.11
Resistance Level
$8.12
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading 26.5% below Wall St target ($8.50)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 75/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.64
Wall Street Target
$8.50
(+26.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
97.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
990.3%
Profit Margin
33.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-23.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.6 vs 17.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-23.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$6.05
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$5.44
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$4.90
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→17)
$11.03
(+64%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -5.9%)
$14.57
(+117%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.6, Growth: -5.9%)
$5.60
(-17%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.5, Growth: -5.9%)
$4.76
(-29%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.02 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.59
Bull Case
$10.66
(+59%)
Analyst growth 49.2%, PE expands to 12.1
Base Case
$9.69
(+44%)
Market implied 49.2%, PE stable at 11.0
Bear Case
$4.42
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.6 to 17.2
Stabilization Target:
$15.14
(+125.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+125.2%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (NAT)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 10, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
One bullish StockTwits message expressed excitement about investing in $NAT.
Key Retail Themes:
Buy interest
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 6:06 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:06 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:06 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NAT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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