Nordic American Tanker (NAT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NAT - Nordic American Tanker
$7.46
0.25 (3.47%)
▲
5d:
+5.07%
30d:
+15.84%
90d:
+44.85%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 27, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NAT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NAT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$3.13
Based on -15.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$1.94
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NAT is currently trading at $7.46, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.44 to $7.14. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.4) is in line with its historical norms (17.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 990.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NAT is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $7.50. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: NAT scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $6.50. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NAT is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $7.50. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: NAT scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $6.50. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$6.44 -
$7.14
Company Quality Score
30/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
23.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.5%)
- BEARISH: Trading 12.9% above Wall St target ($6.50)
- WARNING: Composite score 30/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$6.44 -
$7.14
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$6.67
Resistance Level
$7.50
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.40
Wall Street Target
$6.50
(-12.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
97.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
990.3%
Profit Margin
33.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.4 vs 17.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.29
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$7.12
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$6.96
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→18)
$7.47
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: -35.9%)
$6.69
(+-10%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.4, Growth: -35.9%)
$5.44
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.9, Growth: -35.9%)
$4.62
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 12.43 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.58
Bull Case
$6.22
(-17%)
Analyst growth -21.6%, PE expands to 13.7
Base Case
$5.66
(-24%)
Market implied -21.6%, PE stable at 12.4
Bear Case
$4.90
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.4 to 17.6
Stabilization Target:
$8.01
(+7.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 8:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:39 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:39 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NAT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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