NMFC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NMFC - NEW MOUNTAIN FINANCE CORPORATION
$6.89
-0.02 (-0.29%)
▼
5d:
+0.73%
30d:
-4.17%
90d:
-19.32%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When NMFC Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NMFC trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -3.4% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NMFC trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -3.4% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$7.68
Based on 0.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.77
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NMFC is currently trading at $6.89, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.91 to $7.14. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.5) compared to its historical average (7.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NMFC is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $6.73. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.54 (+24.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NMFC is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $6.73. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.54 (+24.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$6.91 -
$7.14
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.0% below Wall St target ($8.54)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$6.91 -
$7.14
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$6.73
Resistance Level
$7.11
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.55
Wall Street Target
$8.54
(+24.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-19.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-49.8%
Profit Margin
-18.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.6 vs 7.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$6.66
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$6.43
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$6.21
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→7)
$6.92
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: -3.9%)
$19.33
(+181%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.6, Growth: -3.9%)
$6.11
(-11%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.6, Growth: -3.9%)
$5.19
(-25%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.6 to 7.3
Stabilization Target:
$7.68
(+11.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 2:35 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:35 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:35 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is NMFC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
7
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Adam B Weinstein
BUY
12900 shares
2026-03-17
Steven B Klinsky
BUY
276242 shares
2026-03-11
Steven B Klinsky
BUY
223758 shares
2026-03-10
Top Rated Asset Management Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Asset Management by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
BLK
BlackRock Inc |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$1314 | 51 HOLD |
|
APO
Apollo Global Management… |
STRONG BUY
19 analysts |
$148 | 54 HOLD |
|
HASI
Hannon Armstrong Sustain… |
STRONG BUY
16 analysts |
$49 | 53 HOLD |
|
ARCC
Ares Capital Corporation |
STRONG BUY
13 analysts |
$21 | 53 HOLD |
|
CRBG
Corebridge Financial Inc. |
STRONG BUY
14 analysts |
$38 | 53 HOLD |
Advanced NMFC Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NMFC price and gamma walls.
