NEW MOUNTAIN FINANCE (NMFC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NMFC - NEW MOUNTAIN FINANCE CORPORATION
$6.72
0.21 (3.23%)
▲
5d:
-2.54%
30d:
-4.82%
90d:
-1.75%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 02, 2026
9d
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Oct 20, 2026 at $6.51 · last confirmed Oct 21, 2026
Strength: 4.3/10
Get Alerted When NMFC Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NMFC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NMFC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$7.64
Based on 0.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.74
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NMFC is currently trading at $6.72, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.68 to $7.08. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.4) compared to its historical average (7.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 157.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NMFC is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $6.91. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: NMFC scores 66/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.29 (+23.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NMFC is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $6.91. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: NMFC scores 66/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.29 (+23.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$6.68 -
$7.08
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
95.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (66/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 23.4% below Wall St target ($8.29)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 66/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$6.68 -
$7.08
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$6.48
Resistance Level
$6.91
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.40
Wall Street Target
$8.29
(+23.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-26.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
157.1%
Profit Margin
-16.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.4 vs 7.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$6.48
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$6.24
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$6.02
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→7)
$6.77
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -3.5%)
$18.71
(+179%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.4, Growth: -3.5%)
$6.03
(-10%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.4, Growth: -3.5%)
$5.13
(-24%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.4 to 7.2
Stabilization Target:
$7.56
(+12.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 2:15 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:15 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:15 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is NMFC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Asset Management Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Asset Management by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
APO
Apollo Global Management… |
STRONG BUY
22 analysts |
$149 | 69 BUY |
|
ARES
Ares Management LP |
BUY
20 analysts |
$145 | 65 BUY |
|
TPG
TPG Inc |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$58 | 62 BUY |
|
HASI
Hannon Armstrong Sustain… |
STRONG BUY
15 analysts |
$50 | 63 BUY |
|
CG
Carlyle Group Inc |
BUY
20 analysts |
$52 | 66 BUY |
Advanced NMFC Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NMFC price and gamma walls.
