NMRK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NMRK - Newmark Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$15.30
0.31 (2.03%)
▲
5d:
-3.71%
30d:
-2.67%
90d:
-4.61%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NMRK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NMRK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.57
Based on 8.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.88
3.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NMRK is currently trading at $15.30, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.04 to $15.71. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.0) compared to its historical average (7.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NMRK is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $14.73, while resistance sits at $16.35.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.58 (+28.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NMRK is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $14.73, while resistance sits at $16.35.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.58 (+28.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$15.04 -
$15.71
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 28.0% below Wall St target ($19.58)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$15.04 -
$15.71
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.74
Resistance Level
$16.35
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.96
Wall Street Target
$19.58
(+28.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-5.4%
Profit Margin
4.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.0 vs 7.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.76
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$14.25
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$13.75
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→8)
$15.42
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 12.7%)
$65.28
(+327%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.0, Growth: 12.7%)
$21.91
(+43%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.9, Growth: 12.7%)
$18.62
(+22%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.74 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.80
Bull Case
$32.99
(+116%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 20.6
Base Case
$29.99
(+96%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 18.7
Bear Case
$10.20
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.0 to 7.8
Stabilization Target:
$17.16
(+12.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 04, 2026 3:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:58 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:58 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NMRK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NMRK price and gamma walls.
