What is the fair value of NVO stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for NVO to be between $45.85 and $50.07. The current price is $46.74.

What is the analyst price target for NVO?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for NVO is $47.56. This implies a potential upside of 1.8% from current levels.

NVO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

NVO - Novo-Nordisk A/S

Pharmaceutical Preparations

$46.74

0.60 (1.30%) ▲

5d: +1.85%

30d: -2.99%

90d: +5.29%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Aug 05, 2026 0d

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 7, 2026 at $47.26 · last confirmed Aug 21, 2026

Strength: 7.3/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
ℹ️ NEUTRAL: NVO is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.5% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: -4.7%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$45.28

Based on -0.4% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$28.12

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 2.1x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: NVO is currently trading at $46.74, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $45.85 to $50.07. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 2.1) is in line with its historical norms (2.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, NVO is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $47.73. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: NVO scores 72/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW

Historical Trading Range $45.85 - $50.07

Company Quality Score 49/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 89.0%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
BULLISH: Strong technical setup (72/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($47.56)
BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.5% growth with 2.1% revenue growth
WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $45.85 - $50.07

Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $44.68

Resistance Level $47.74

Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 2.12

Wall Street Target $47.56 (+1.8%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 2.1%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -20.6%

Profit Margin 35.4%

Valuation Premium vs History +0.5% premium

PE vs Historical 2.1 vs 2.1 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +0.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $46.97 (+1%)

2-Year Target $47.21 (+1%)

3-Year Target $47.44 (+2%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 2→2) PE COMPRESSION $46.89 (+0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.1, Growth: -4.7%) $381.97 (+717%)

Base: (SPY PE: 2.1, Growth: -4.7%) $40.44 (-14%)

Bear: (PE: 1.8, Growth: -4.7%) $34.37 (-27%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (2x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 11.42 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.04

Bull Case $101.51 (+117%)

Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 12.6

Base Case $92.28 (+97%)

Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 11.4

Bear Case $31.38 (-33%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.7

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

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Last updated: August 24, 2026 7:37 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:37 AM

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Advanced NVO Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NVO price and gamma walls.

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