NWBI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NWBI - Northwest Bancshares, Inc
$15.40
-0.02 (-0.14%)
▼
5d:
-1.86%
30d:
-0.01%
90d:
+10.23%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 27, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NWBI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NWBI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$16.48
Based on 3.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.23
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NWBI is currently trading at $15.40, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.39 to $15.81. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 10.6) compared to its historical average (9.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NWBI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $15.19. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: NWBI scores 69/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NWBI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $15.19. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: NWBI scores 69/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$15.39 -
$15.81
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
86.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (69/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($16.57)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 69/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$15.39 -
$15.81
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$15.19
Resistance Level
$15.90
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 24, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.64
Wall Street Target
$16.57
(+7.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
23.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
38.5%
Profit Margin
23.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.5% premium
PE vs Historical
10.6 vs 9.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.96
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$16.52
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$17.10
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$15.42
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 2.9%)
$31.64
(+105%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.6, Growth: 2.9%)
$16.78
(+9%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.0, Growth: 2.9%)
$14.26
(-8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.86 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.03
Bull Case
$23.69
(+54%)
Analyst growth 40.7%, PE expands to 16.4
Base Case
$21.54
(+40%)
Market implied 40.7%, PE stable at 14.9
Bear Case
$10.41
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 3:27 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:27 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:27 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NWBI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Louis J Torchio
BUY
3500 shares
2026-03-06
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