NWBI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NWBI - Northwest Bancshares, Inc
$13.80
-0.36 (-2.54%)
▼
5d:
-0.79%
30d:
+0.15%
90d:
+9.26%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NWBI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.1% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NWBI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.1% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$16.56
Based on 4.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.28
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NWBI is currently trading at $13.80, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.64 to $14.06. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.6) is in line with its historical norms (9.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NWBI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $13.52. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NWBI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $13.52. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$13.64 -
$14.06
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($15.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$13.64 -
$14.06
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.52
Resistance Level
$14.23
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.57
Wall Street Target
$15.00
(+8.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.1%
Profit Margin
21.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.1% premium
PE vs Historical
9.6 vs 9.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.95
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$14.11
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$14.26
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$13.86
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 4.6%)
$36.21
(+162%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.6, Growth: 4.6%)
$15.81
(+15%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.1, Growth: 4.6%)
$13.44
(-3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.12 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.92
Bull Case
$23.99
(+71%)
Analyst growth 56.8%, PE expands to 16.6
Base Case
$21.81
(+55%)
Market implied 56.8%, PE stable at 15.1
Bear Case
$9.46
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 5:36 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:36 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:36 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NWBI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Louis J Torchio
BUY
3500 shares
2026-03-06
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