NWBI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NWBI - Northwest Bancshares, Inc
$15.05
0.19 (1.28%)
▲
5d:
+2.94%
30d:
+7.73%
90d:
+20.88%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NWBI is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: NWBI is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$16.56
Based on 4.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.28
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NWBI is currently trading at $15.05, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.71 to $14.44. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 10.3) compared to its historical average (9.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NWBI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $14.64. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NWBI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NWBI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $14.64. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NWBI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$13.71 -
$14.44
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($15.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$13.71 -
$14.44
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.78
Resistance Level
$14.64
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.30
Wall Street Target
$15.00
(+0.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.1%
Profit Margin
21.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.3% premium
PE vs Historical
10.3 vs 9.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.35
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$15.86
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$16.38
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$14.79
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 4.6%)
$35.99
(+142%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.3, Growth: 4.6%)
$17.02
(+15%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.8, Growth: 4.6%)
$14.47
(-3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.86 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.92
Bull Case
$25.16
(+69%)
Analyst growth 56.8%, PE expands to 17.4
Base Case
$22.88
(+54%)
Market implied 56.8%, PE stable at 15.9
Bear Case
$9.92
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 1:50 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:50 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:50 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NWBI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Louis J Torchio
BUY
3500 shares
2026-03-06
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