Northwest Bancshares (NWBI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NWBI - Northwest Bancshares, Inc
$15.49
0.00 (0.00%)
▲
5d:
-0.13%
30d:
-1.46%
90d:
+6.24%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 26, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NWBI is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.4% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: NWBI is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.4% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$16.65
Based on 3.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.34
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NWBI is currently trading at $15.49, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.32 to $15.77. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 10.7) compared to its historical average (9.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NWBI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $15.07. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 58/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NWBI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $15.07. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 58/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$15.32 -
$15.77
Company Quality Score
65/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (58/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($16.57)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (58/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$15.32 -
$15.77
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$15.07
Resistance Level
$15.72
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.69
Wall Street Target
$16.57
(+7.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
23.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
38.5%
Profit Margin
23.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.4% premium
PE vs Historical
10.7 vs 9.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.02
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$16.56
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$17.12
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$15.54
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 2.9%)
$31.80
(+105%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.7, Growth: 2.9%)
$16.85
(+9%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.1, Growth: 2.9%)
$14.33
(-8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.89 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.04
Bull Case
$23.74
(+53%)
Analyst growth 39.3%, PE expands to 16.4
Base Case
$21.58
(+39%)
Market implied 39.3%, PE stable at 14.9
Bear Case
$10.53
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 5:12 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:12 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:12 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NWBI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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