NWBI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NWBI - Northwest Bancshares, Inc
$15.05
0.00 (0.00%)
▲
5d:
+0.13%
30d:
+3.22%
90d:
+11.73%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 27, 2026
12d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NWBI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NWBI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$16.71
Based on 4.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.37
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NWBI is currently trading at $15.05, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.50 to $15.13. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 10.4) compared to its historical average (9.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NWBI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $14.64. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NWBI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $14.64. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$14.50 -
$15.13
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($15.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.50 -
$15.13
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.78
Resistance Level
$14.64
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.45
Wall Street Target
$15.00
(-0.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.1%
Profit Margin
21.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.5% premium
PE vs Historical
10.5 vs 9.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.58
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$16.12
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$16.69
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$15.01
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 4.6%)
$35.86
(+138%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.5, Growth: 4.6%)
$17.21
(+14%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.9, Growth: 4.6%)
$14.63
(-3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.35 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.92
Bull Case
$25.89
(+72%)
Analyst growth 56.5%, PE expands to 18.0
Base Case
$23.54
(+56%)
Market implied 56.5%, PE stable at 16.4
Bear Case
$10.23
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 2:59 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:59 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:59 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NWBI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Louis J Torchio
BUY
3500 shares
2026-03-06
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