NWG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NWG - NatWest Group plc American Depositary Shares, (each representing two (2) Ordinary Shares)
$18.62
0.31 (1.69%)
â˛
5d:
-2.51%
30d:
+4.26%
90d:
+17.92%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 31, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: NWG is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.5% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: NWG is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.5% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.46
Based on 7.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.81
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NWG is currently trading at $18.62, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.84 to $19.12. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.6) is in line with its historical norms (8.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NWG is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $18.31. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.54 (+15.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NWG is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $18.31. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.54 (+15.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$17.84 -
$19.12
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (44/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($21.54)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$17.84 -
$19.12
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$18.31
Resistance Level
$19.41
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.60
Wall Street Target
$21.54
(+15.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
30.0%
Profit Margin
37.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.5% premium
PE vs Historical
8.6 vs 8.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.90
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$19.18
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$19.47
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9â8)
PE COMPRESSION
$18.57
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 11.0%)
$59.49
(+220%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.6, Growth: 11.0%)
$25.48
(+37%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.3, Growth: 11.0%)
$21.66
(+16%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.11 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.01
Bull Case
$21.70
(+17%)
Analyst growth 7.8%, PE expands to 10.0
Base Case
$19.73
(+6%)
Market implied 7.8%, PE stable at 9.1
Bear Case
$12.45
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 8:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:46 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:46 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NWG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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