NWG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NWG - NatWest Group plc American Depositary Shares, (each representing two (2) Ordinary Shares)
$17.50
-0.26 (-1.46%)
▼
5d:
-4.74%
30d:
+12.47%
90d:
+5.74%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 24, 2026
9d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NWG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.8% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NWG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.8% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.72
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.35
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NWG is currently trading at $17.50, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.29 to $17.81. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.4) is in line with its historical norms (8.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NWG is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $16.32. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.48 (+17.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NWG is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $16.32. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.48 (+17.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$16.29 -
$17.81
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
63.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($20.48)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$16.29 -
$17.81
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$15.69
Resistance Level
$16.33
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.36
Wall Street Target
$20.49
(+17.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
15.6%
Profit Margin
36.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.8% premium
PE vs Historical
8.4 vs 8.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.64
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$17.78
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$17.92
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$17.58
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 11.2%)
$62.60
(+258%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.4, Growth: 11.2%)
$24.03
(+37%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.1, Growth: 11.2%)
$20.43
(+17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.65 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.84
Bull Case
$22.22
(+27%)
Analyst growth 13.7%, PE expands to 10.6
Base Case
$20.20
(+15%)
Market implied 13.7%, PE stable at 9.7
Bear Case
$12.08
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 9:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:11 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:11 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NWG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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