NWG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NWG - NatWest Group plc American Depositary Shares, (each representing two (2) Ordinary Shares)
$17.67
0.27 (1.55%)
▲
5d:
-4.43%
30d:
-4.95%
90d:
-3.81%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 30, 2026
25d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NWG shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NWG shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$27.00
Based on 8.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.77
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NWG is currently trading at $17.67, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.11 to $18.85. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.0) is in line with its historical norms (8.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 30.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NWG is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $17.00, while resistance sits at $19.06.
Market Sentiment: NWG scores 36/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.91 (+24.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NWG is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $17.00, while resistance sits at $19.06.
Market Sentiment: NWG scores 36/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.91 (+24.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$18.11 -
$18.85
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (36/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.0% below Wall St target ($21.91)
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$18.11 -
$18.85
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$17.01
Resistance Level
$19.06
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.04
Wall Street Target
$21.91
(+24.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
30.0%
Profit Margin
37.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.0 vs 8.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.49
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$17.32
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$17.15
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
$17.70
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 12.4%)
$63.72
(+261%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.0, Growth: 12.4%)
$25.11
(+42%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.8, Growth: 12.4%)
$21.35
(+21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.21 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.89
Bull Case
$22.26
(+26%)
Analyst growth 16.3%, PE expands to 10.1
Base Case
$20.24
(+15%)
Market implied 16.3%, PE stable at 9.2
Bear Case
$11.83
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.0 to 8.3
Stabilization Target:
$18.24
(+3.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 10:55 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:55 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:55 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is NWG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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