NWG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NWG - NatWest Group plc American Depositary Shares, (each representing two (2) Ordinary Shares)
$18.89
0.47 (2.55%)
▲
5d:
-0.32%
30d:
-1.92%
90d:
+16.39%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 23, 2026
Get Alerted When NWG Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NWG is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: NWG is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.97
Based on 7.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.12
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NWG is currently trading at $18.89, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.48 to $19.16. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.7) is in line with its historical norms (8.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NWG is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $19.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.91 (+16.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NWG is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $19.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.91 (+16.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$18.48 -
$19.16
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (51/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($21.91)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (51/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$18.48 -
$19.16
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$18.16
Resistance Level
$19.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.66
Wall Street Target
$21.91
(+16.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
30.0%
Profit Margin
37.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.6% premium
PE vs Historical
8.7 vs 8.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.19
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$19.50
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$19.81
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$18.99
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 11.0%)
$60.26
(+219%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.7, Growth: 11.0%)
$25.86
(+37%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.4, Growth: 11.0%)
$21.99
(+16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.16 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.01
Bull Case
$22.00
(+16%)
Analyst growth 8.6%, PE expands to 10.1
Base Case
$20.00
(+6%)
Market implied 8.6%, PE stable at 9.2
Bear Case
$12.53
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 2:28 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:28 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:28 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is NWG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Banks - Regional Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Banks - Regional by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
CFG
Citizens Financial Group… |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$81 | 65 BUY |
|
USB
U.S. Bancorp |
BUY
24 analysts |
$70 | 61 BUY |
|
RF
Regions Financial Corpor… |
HOLD
21 analysts |
$33 | 67 BUY |
|
WAL
Western Alliance Bancorp… |
STRONG BUY
15 analysts |
$93 | 61 BUY |
|
WTFC
Wintrust Financial Corpo… |
STRONG BUY
13 analysts |
$180 | 59 HOLD |
