NWG
NatWest Group plc American Depositary Shares, (each representing two (2) Ordinary Shares)
Commercial Banks, NEC
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NWG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$15.73
-0.20 (-1.26%)
▼
5d:
-1.44%
30d:
-10.63%
90d:
-17.64%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
MODERATE Confidence (91%)
Quality Score
56/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$16.04 – $17.49
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
7.3x
CHEAP
vs 8.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$21.15
+34.5% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$15.31 / $16.61
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NWG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.38
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.76
0.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NWG is currently trading at $15.73, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.04 to $17.49. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.3) compared to its historical average (8.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NWG is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $15.31. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: NWG scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.15 (+34.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NWG is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $15.31. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: NWG scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.15 (+34.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$16.04 -
$17.49
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$16.04 -
$17.49
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$15.31
Resistance Level
$16.61
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 34.5% below Wall St target ($21.15)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 60/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.34
Wall Street Target
$21.15
(+34.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-2.6%
Profit Margin
36.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.3 vs 8.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.15
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$14.59
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$14.05
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→8)
$15.70
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 11.3%)
$58.65
(+273%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.3, Growth: 11.3%)
$21.66
(+38%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.2, Growth: 11.3%)
$18.42
(+17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (8x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.01 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.99
Bull Case
$18.88
(+20%)
Analyst growth 7.7%, PE expands to 8.8
Base Case
$17.16
(+9%)
Market implied 7.7%, PE stable at 8.0
Bear Case
$10.83
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.3 to 8.2
Stabilization Target:
$17.58
(+11.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.8%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (NWG)
Bearish
1 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
Last Tracked
Apr 17, 2021
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Reddit & WallStreetBets discussions on NWG are bearish (sentiment score -0.23) across 1 tracked comments.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 13, 2026 9:47 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:47 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:47 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NWG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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