NXGL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NXGL - NexGel, Inc Common Stock
$0.33
-0.06 (-14.79%)
βΌ
5d:
-41.59%
30d:
-23.26%
90d:
-38.32%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 18, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
βΈοΈ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: NXGL is down 41.6% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
βΈοΈ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: NXGL is down 41.6% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$2.75
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$1.71
80.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NXGL is currently trading at $0.33, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $0.39 to $0.49. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 0.8) compared to its historical average (4.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 44.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NXGL is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $0.30, while resistance sits at $0.59. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 14.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $2.00 (+506.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NXGL is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $0.30, while resistance sits at $0.59. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 14.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $2.00 (+506.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$0.39 -
$0.49
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (50/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-14.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading 506.1% below Wall St target ($2.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile β this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$0.39 -
$0.49
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$0.30
Resistance Level
$0.59
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
0.82
Wall Street Target
$2.00
(+506.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
27.8%
Profit Margin
-51.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-44.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
0.8 vs 4.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-44.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$0.30
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$0.27
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$0.24
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 1β5)
$1.43
(+333%)
π‘
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 0.8 to 4.9
Stabilization Target:
$1.96
(+493.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+493.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 11:19 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:19 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:19 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NXGL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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