RMD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RMD - ResMed Inc.
$231.52
3.08 (1.35%)
▲
5d:
+3.15%
30d:
+20.65%
90d:
+10.79%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: RMD shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: RMD shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$313.04
Based on 6.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$194.38
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RMD is currently trading at $231.52, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $199.30 to $224.89. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.2) is in line with its historical norms (19.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RMD is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $234.14. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: RMD scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RMD is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $234.14. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: RMD scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$199.30 -
$224.89
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
24.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding RMD? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($245.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$199.30 -
$224.89
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$210.58
Resistance Level
$234.14
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.16
Wall Street Target
$245.50
(+6.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2.4%
Profit Margin
27.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.1% premium
PE vs Historical
19.2 vs 19.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$231.75
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$231.98
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$232.22
(+0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→19)
PE COMPRESSION
$231.47
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 8.6%)
$310.82
(+34%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.2, Growth: 8.6%)
$296.75
(+28%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.3, Growth: 8.6%)
$252.24
(+9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.11 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.33
Bull Case
$293.92
(+27%)
Analyst growth 17.0%, PE expands to 24.3
Base Case
$267.20
(+15%)
Market implied 17.0%, PE stable at 22.1
Bear Case
$155.34
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 11:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:50 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:50 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RMD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael J Farrell
SELL
4991 shares
2026-04-07
Peter C Farrell
SELL
2000 shares
2026-04-01
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
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