PBA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PBA - PEMBINA PIPELINE CORPORATION
$49.65
2.10 (4.42%)
▲
5d:
+6.41%
30d:
+1.66%
90d:
+11.98%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
22d
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1 traders called PBA this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PBA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: PBA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$52.02
Based on 2.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$32.30
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PBA is currently trading at $49.65, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $46.46 to $48.55. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 16.1) compared to its historical average (14.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.4% annual earnings growth. This is a high bar to clear, indicating the stock may be priced for perfection.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PBA is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $49.56. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: PBA has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $42.09. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PBA is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $49.56. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: PBA has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $42.09. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$46.46 -
$48.55
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.4%)
- BEARISH: Trading 15.2% above Wall St target ($42.09)
- BEARISH: Market expects 3.4% growth - appears too optimistic based on history
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$46.46 -
$48.55
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$46.44
Resistance Level
$49.56
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.11
Wall Street Target
$42.09
(-15.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-7.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
0.2%
Profit Margin
22.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.4% premium
PE vs Historical
16.1 vs 14.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$51.34
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$53.08
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$54.89
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$49.74
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 1.9%)
$71.08
(+43%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.1, Growth: 1.9%)
$52.58
(+6%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.7, Growth: 1.9%)
$44.69
(-10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.43 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.87
Bull Case
$86.19
(+74%)
Analyst growth 64.8%, PE expands to 28.0
Base Case
$78.36
(+58%)
Market implied 64.8%, PE stable at 25.4
Bear Case
$32.33
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 8:58 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:58 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:58 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PBA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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