PH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

PH - Parker-Hannifin Corporation

MISCELLANEOUS FABRICATED METAL PRODUCTS
$850.76
14.44 (1.73%) ▲
5d: -0.69%
30d: -1.96%
90d: -13.87%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PH trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -3.5% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1159.33
Based on 6.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$719.85
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: PH is currently trading at $850.76, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $843.03 to $912.64. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 25.0) compared to its historical average (27.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, PH is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $815.01, while resistance sits at $880.00.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $1032.50 (+21.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $843.03 - $912.64
Company Quality Score 61/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 21.4% below Wall St target ($1032.50)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $843.03 - $912.64
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $815.01
Resistance Level $880.00
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Jun 3, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 25.00
Wall Street Target $1032.50 (+21.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 10.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -4.2%
Profit Margin 16.6%
Valuation Discount vs History -3.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical 25.0 vs 27.9 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -3.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $820.98 (-4%)
2-Year Target $792.25 (-7%)
3-Year Target $764.52 (-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 25→28) $853.14 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 25.0, Growth: 8.8%) $1096.91 (+29%)
Base: (SPY PE: 21.9, Growth: 8.8%) $961.26 (+13%)
Bear: (PE: 18.6, Growth: 8.8%) $817.07 (-4%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.65 | Current EPS (TTM): $27.07
Bull Case $1184.56 (+39%)
Analyst growth 25.7%, PE expands to 34.8
Base Case $1076.87 (+26%)
Market implied 25.7%, PE stable at 31.7
Bear Case $582.54 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 25.0 to 27.9
Stabilization Target: $949.38 (+11.6%)
PE Expansion Potential: +11.6%
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Last updated: June 04, 2026 1:36 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:36 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
12
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna SELL 2026-03-30
David Taylor BUY 2026-03-12
David Taylor SELL 2026-02-26

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Advanced PH Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PH price and gamma walls.

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