PH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PH - Parker-Hannifin Corporation
$951.26
-10.01 (-1.04%)
▼
5d:
-2.07%
30d:
+8.64%
90d:
-3.35%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
22d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PH shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PH shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1170.62
Based on 6.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$726.86
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PH is currently trading at $951.26, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $910.09 to $972.87. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 27.9) is in line with its historical norms (27.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PH is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $906.75. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (15th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PH is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $906.75. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (15th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$910.09 -
$972.87
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
15th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.5%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 15th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($1040.74)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.1% growth with 10.6% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$910.09 -
$972.87
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$51.10
(5.4%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$815.01
Resistance Level
$906.75
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.88
Wall Street Target
$1040.74
(+9.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-4.2%
Profit Margin
16.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.1% premium
PE vs Historical
27.9 vs 27.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$952.21
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$953.16
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$954.12
(+0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 28→28)
PE COMPRESSION
$951.40
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.9, Growth: 9.1%)
$1234.41
(+30%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 9.1%)
$964.36
(+1%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 9.1%)
$819.70
(-14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (28x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 35.46 | Current EPS (TTM): $27.11
Bull Case
$1330.84
(+40%)
Analyst growth 25.9%, PE expands to 39.0
Base Case
$1209.86
(+27%)
Market implied 25.9%, PE stable at 35.5
Bear Case
$653.66
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 8:40 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:40 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:40 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
10
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
David Taylor
BUY
2026-03-12
David Taylor
SELL
2026-02-26
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Advanced PH Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PH price and gamma walls.