PHAT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

PHAT - Phathom Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Common Stock

PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS
$10.92
-1.70 (-13.44%) ▼
5d: -4.09%
30d: +11.15%
90d: -13.58%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026 22d
Smart Money Accumulation

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Strength: 6.5/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PHAT shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$15.12
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.39
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: PHAT is currently trading at $10.91, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.10 to $11.49. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.6) is in line with its historical norms (7.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, PHAT is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $10.34, while resistance sits at $12.64. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 13.4% recently.

Market Sentiment: PHAT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.70 (+117.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $10.10 - $11.49
Company Quality Score 60/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-13.4%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 117.1% below Wall St target ($23.70)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $10.10 - $11.49
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $10.34
Resistance Level $12.64
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Jul 13, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 7.59
Wall Street Target $23.70 (+117.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 104.4%
Profit Margin -76.8%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.2% premium
PE vs Historical 7.6 vs 7.5 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $10.94 (+0%)
2-Year Target $10.96 (+0%)
3-Year Target $10.98 (+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 8→8) PE COMPRESSION $10.86 (-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
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Last updated: July 14, 2026 5:26 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:26 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced PHAT Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PHAT price and gamma walls.

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