Jazz Pharmaceuticals (JAZZ) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

JAZZ - Jazz Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS
$245.80
5.32 (2.21%) ▲
5d: -0.71%
30d: -1.26%
90d: +4.08%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: JAZZ is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.5% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$257.10
Based on 3.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$159.64
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: JAZZ is currently trading at $245.80, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $244.14 to $255.89. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 9.3) compared to its historical average (8.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, JAZZ is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $252.72. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $289.45 (+20.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $244.14 - $255.89
Company Quality Score 59/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 84.2%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (46/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 20.4% below Wall St target ($289.45)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (46/100) — watch for confirmation

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $244.14 - $255.89
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$9.55 (3.9%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $236.00
Resistance Level $252.72
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 9.33
Wall Street Target $289.45 (+20.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 15.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 3.2%
Profit Margin 20.4%
Valuation Premium vs History +3.5% premium
PE vs Historical 9.3 vs 8.4 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +3.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $248.90 (+4%)
2-Year Target $257.61 (+7%)
3-Year Target $266.62 (+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 9→8) PE COMPRESSION $240.01 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 3.0%) $567.67 (+136%)
Base: (SPY PE: 9.3, Growth: 3.0%) $262.62 (+9%)
Bear: (PE: 7.9, Growth: 3.0%) $223.23 (-7%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.51 | Current EPS (TTM): $14.62
Bull Case $467.90 (+95%)
Analyst growth 76.3%, PE expands to 18.2
Base Case $425.36 (+77%)
Market implied 76.3%, PE stable at 16.5
Bear Case $164.09 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: September 11, 2026 4:21 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:21 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Bruce C Cozadd SELL 6000 shares 2026-04-01

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Advanced JAZZ Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's JAZZ price and gamma walls.

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