Sarepta Therapeutics (SRPT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SRPT - Sarepta Therapeutics,, Inc. Common Stock

PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS
$17.57
-0.65 (-3.57%) ▼
5d: -4.46%
30d: -17.63%
90d: -8.87%
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LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 02, 2026 30d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SRPT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$4.71
Based on -20.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.92
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.8x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SRPT is currently trading at $17.57, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.75 to $21.70. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.3) is in line with its historical norms (6.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SRPT is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $17.52. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.6% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.73 (+23.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $18.75 - $21.70
Company Quality Score 45/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 75.7%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.6%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 23.7% below Wall St target ($21.73)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $18.75 - $21.70
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $17.52
Resistance Level $21.19
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Oct 1, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 7.29
Wall Street Target $21.73 (+23.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -34.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 2663.8%
Profit Margin -6.9%
Valuation Premium vs History +2.1% premium
PE vs Historical 7.3 vs 6.8 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +2.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $17.94 (+2%)
2-Year Target $18.32 (+4%)
3-Year Target $18.70 (+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 7→7) PE COMPRESSION $17.45 (-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.4, Growth: -44.4%) $35.86 (+104%)
Base: (SPY PE: 7.3, Growth: -44.4%) $12.81 (-27%)
Bear: (PE: 6.2, Growth: -44.4%) $10.89 (-38%)
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Last updated: October 02, 2026 1:54 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:54 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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