PNTG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

PNTG - The Pennant Group, Inc. Common Stock

SERVICES-HEALTH SERVICES
$33.63
0.19 (0.57%) ▲
5d: +2.37%
30d: -4.78%
90d: +8.31%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PNTG shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$56.34
Based on 10.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$34.98
3.9% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.3x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: PNTG is currently trading at $33.63, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $31.76 to $34.80. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.1) is in line with its historical norms (21.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 9.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, PNTG is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $29.66, while resistance sits at $35.00.

Market Sentiment: PNTG has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.83 (+21.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $31.76 - $34.80
Company Quality Score 61/100 (BUY)
Options IV Signal 32th percentile (NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 80.8%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 32th percentile)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 21.4% below Wall St target ($40.83)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $31.76 - $34.80
Current vs Trading Range FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$2.57 (7.6%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $29.66
Resistance Level $35.00
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 21.13
Wall Street Target $40.83 (+21.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 36.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 9.1%
Profit Margin 3.0%
Valuation Discount vs History -0.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical 21.1 vs 21.3 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -0.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $33.53 (0%)
2-Year Target $33.43 (-1%)
3-Year Target $33.33 (-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 21→21) $33.59 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 17.6%) $56.41 (+68%)
Base: (SPY PE: 21.1, Growth: 17.6%) $54.74 (+63%)
Bear: (PE: 18.0, Growth: 17.6%) $46.53 (+38%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (39x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 38.88 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.86
Bull Case $68.07 (+102%)
Analyst growth 85.0%, PE expands to 42.8
Base Case $61.88 (+84%)
Market implied 85.0%, PE stable at 38.9
Bear Case $22.74 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 33.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.1 to 21.3
Stabilization Target: $33.90 (+0.8%)
PE Expansion Potential: +0.8%
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Last updated: June 23, 2026 4:42 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:42 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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Net
NEUTRAL

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