PNTG The Pennant Group, Inc. Common Stock SERVICES-HEALTH SERVICES Best Health Services Stocks 2026 →

The Pennant Group (PNTG) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$36.53
-0.21 (-0.57%) β–Ό
5d: -17.05% 30d: -9.02% 90d: -5.46%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (60%)
Quality Score
42/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$38.60 – $42.47
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
23.2x FAIR
vs 22.8x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$48.00
+30.6% upside
Options IV & Volume
39th pct IV
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$35.28 / $44.24
Trend: Uptrend
πŸ’‘Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: PNTG is down 17.1% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$55.41
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$34.40
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.8x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: PNTG is currently trading at $36.53, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $38.60 to $42.47. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 23.1) is in line with its historical norms (22.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, PNTG is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $35.28, while resistance sits at $44.24.

Market Sentiment: PNTG scores 31/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $48.00 (+30.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $38.60 - $42.47
Company Quality Score 42/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 39th percentile (NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 60.4%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $38.60 - $42.47
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days) Β±$2.95 (8.1%)
Support Level $35.28
Resistance Level $44.24
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Nov 10, 2026

Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 39th percentile)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (31/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 30.6% below Wall St target ($48.00)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile β€” this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 23.15
Wall Street Target $48.00 (+30.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 32.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 52.9%
Profit Margin 3.0%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.5% premium
PE vs Historical 23.2 vs 22.8 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $36.92 (+1%)
2-Year Target $37.11 (+1%)
3-Year Target $37.29 (+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 23β†’23) PE COMPRESSION $36.73 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 23.1, Growth: 13.9%) $54.22 (+48%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 13.9%) $46.52 (+27%)
Bear: (PE: 16.9, Growth: 13.9%) $39.54 (+8%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (36x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 35.90 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.01
Bull Case $62.68 (+71%)
Analyst growth 57.1%, PE expands to 39.5
Base Case $56.98 (+55%)
Market implied 57.1%, PE stable at 35.9
Bear Case $24.66 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (PNTG)

Bullish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Dec 21, 2025
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: StockTwits messages indicate bullish sentiment towards $PNTG with the use of bullish emojis and hashtags. No recent news articles were available for analysis.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 9:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:58 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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