The Pennant Group (PNTG) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PNTG - The Pennant Group, Inc. Common Stock
$41.04
-0.44 (-1.06%)
âŧ
5d:
+0.54%
30d:
+4.14%
90d:
+3.09%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
12d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: PNTG is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 4.6% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: PNTG is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 4.6% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$54.18
Based on 8.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$33.64
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PNTG is currently trading at $41.04, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $39.35 to $41.21. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 25.9) compared to its historical average (22.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PNTG is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $39.01, while resistance sits at $42.66.
Market Sentiment: PNTG scores 39/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $46.83 (+14.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PNTG is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $39.01, while resistance sits at $42.66.
Market Sentiment: PNTG scores 39/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $46.83 (+14.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$39.35 -
$41.21
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (39/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($46.83)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$39.35 -
$41.21
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
Âą$2.38
(5.8%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$39.01
Resistance Level
$42.66
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.86
Wall Street Target
$46.83
(+14.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
35.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
25.0%
Profit Margin
2.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.6% premium
PE vs Historical
25.9 vs 22.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$42.93
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$44.90
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$46.97
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26â23)
PE COMPRESSION
$41.05
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.9, Growth: 13.3%)
$59.61
(+45%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 13.3%)
$45.78
(+12%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 13.3%)
$38.92
(-5%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (46x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (26x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 45.58 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.91
Bull Case
$79.58
(+94%)
Analyst growth 74.4%, PE expands to 50.1
Base Case
$72.34
(+76%)
Market implied 74.4%, PE stable at 45.6
Bear Case
$28.21
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 38.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 7:16 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:16 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:16 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PNTG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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