PNTG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PNTG - The Pennant Group, Inc. Common Stock
$40.50
0.04 (0.10%)
▲
5d:
+5.14%
30d:
+23.59%
90d:
+27.88%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
22d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PNTG trades at premium valuation expecting 5.8% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: PNTG trades at premium valuation expecting 5.8% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$56.87
Based on 10.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$35.31
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PNTG is currently trading at $40.50, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.27 to $38.29. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 25.4) compared to its historical average (21.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PNTG is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $35.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PNTG has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PNTG is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $35.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PNTG has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$32.27 -
$38.29
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
43th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.0%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.8% above its trading range)
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 43th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($40.83)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.8% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$32.27 -
$38.29
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$3.08
(7.6%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$29.66
Resistance Level
$35.00
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.45
Wall Street Target
$40.83
(+0.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
36.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
9.1%
Profit Margin
3.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.8% premium
PE vs Historical
25.5 vs 21.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$42.85
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$45.33
(+12%)
3-Year Target
$47.96
(+18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→22)
PE COMPRESSION
$40.52
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.4, Growth: 17.6%)
$65.92
(+63%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 17.6%)
$56.41
(+39%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 17.6%)
$47.95
(+18%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (45x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 45.46 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.89
Bull Case
$79.58
(+97%)
Analyst growth 78.8%, PE expands to 50.0
Base Case
$72.35
(+79%)
Market implied 78.8%, PE stable at 45.5
Bear Case
$27.51
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 38.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 6:14 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:14 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:14 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PNTG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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