The Pennant Group (PNTG) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PNTG - The Pennant Group, Inc. Common Stock
$38.79
-0.21 (-0.54%)
âŧ
5d:
-2.12%
30d:
+2.78%
90d:
+0.7%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: PNTG is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 3.0% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: PNTG is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 3.0% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$53.70
Based on 8.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$33.35
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PNTG is currently trading at $38.79, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.95 to $40.37. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 24.4) is in line with its historical norms (22.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PNTG is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $38.05. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $46.67 (+20.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PNTG is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $38.05. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $46.67 (+20.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$37.95 -
$40.37
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.5%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (42/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.3% below Wall St target ($46.67)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$37.95 -
$40.37
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
Âą$2.27
(5.8%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$38.05
Resistance Level
$41.59
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.44
Wall Street Target
$46.67
(+20.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
35.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
25.0%
Profit Margin
2.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.0% premium
PE vs Historical
24.4 vs 22.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$39.95
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$41.15
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$42.39
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24â22)
PE COMPRESSION
$38.85
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.4, Growth: 13.3%)
$56.34
(+45%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 13.3%)
$47.03
(+21%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 13.3%)
$39.97
(+3%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (44x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 44.32 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.88
Bull Case
$77.37
(+100%)
Analyst growth 80.4%, PE expands to 48.8
Base Case
$70.34
(+81%)
Market implied 80.4%, PE stable at 44.3
Bear Case
$26.52
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 37.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 12:48 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:48 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:48 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PNTG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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