PNTG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PNTG - The Pennant Group, Inc. Common Stock
$33.63
0.19 (0.57%)
▲
5d:
+2.37%
30d:
-4.78%
90d:
+8.31%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PNTG shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PNTG shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$56.34
Based on 10.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$34.98
3.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PNTG is currently trading at $33.63, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $31.76 to $34.80. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.1) is in line with its historical norms (21.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 9.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PNTG is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $29.66, while resistance sits at $35.00.
Market Sentiment: PNTG has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.83 (+21.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PNTG is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $29.66, while resistance sits at $35.00.
Market Sentiment: PNTG has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.83 (+21.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$31.76 -
$34.80
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
32th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
80.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 32th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.4% below Wall St target ($40.83)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$31.76 -
$34.80
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.57
(7.6%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$29.66
Resistance Level
$35.00
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.13
Wall Street Target
$40.83
(+21.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
36.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
9.1%
Profit Margin
3.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
21.1 vs 21.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$33.53
(0%)
2-Year Target
$33.43
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$33.33
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→21)
$33.59
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 17.6%)
$56.41
(+68%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.1, Growth: 17.6%)
$54.74
(+63%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.0, Growth: 17.6%)
$46.53
(+38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (39x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 38.88 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.86
Bull Case
$68.07
(+102%)
Analyst growth 85.0%, PE expands to 42.8
Base Case
$61.88
(+84%)
Market implied 85.0%, PE stable at 38.9
Bear Case
$22.74
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 33.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.1 to 21.3
Stabilization Target:
$33.90
(+0.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 4:23 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:23 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:23 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PNTG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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