PRDO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PRDO - Perdoceo Education Corporation
$31.81
-0.65 (-2.00%)
▼
5d:
+4.78%
30d:
-4.33%
90d:
-6.28%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
2d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PRDO appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -3.5% annual earnings decline despite 31% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PRDO appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -3.5% annual earnings decline despite 31% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$46.70
Based on 5.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$29.00
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PRDO is currently trading at $31.81, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $31.10 to $34.96. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.5) compared to its historical average (10.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 30.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PRDO is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $28.96, while resistance sits at $34.77.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $44.00 (+38.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PRDO is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $28.96, while resistance sits at $34.77.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $44.00 (+38.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$31.10 -
$34.96
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 38.3% below Wall St target ($44.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$31.10 -
$34.96
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$28.96
Resistance Level
$34.77
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.52
Wall Street Target
$44.00
(+38.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
30.8%
Profit Margin
19.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.5 vs 10.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$30.70
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$29.62
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$28.59
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→11)
$31.82
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 7.4%)
$85.76
(+170%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.5, Growth: 7.4%)
$39.40
(+24%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.1, Growth: 7.4%)
$33.49
(+5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.39 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.62
Bull Case
$45.52
(+43%)
Analyst growth 27.5%, PE expands to 13.6
Base Case
$41.38
(+30%)
Market implied 27.5%, PE stable at 12.4
Bear Case
$22.07
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.5 to 10.6
Stabilization Target:
$35.40
(+11.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 10:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:33 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PRDO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
8
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Greg E Jansen
SELL
30158 shares
2026-04-06
Ashish R Ghia
SELL
11089 shares
2026-03-25
Todd S Nelson
SELL
4387 shares
2026-03-25
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