PRDO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PRDO - Perdoceo Education Corporation
$33.02
0.54 (1.66%)
â˛
5d:
+3.16%
30d:
+7.07%
90d:
-2.25%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: PRDO is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -2.3% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: PRDO is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -2.3% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$44.01
Based on 4.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$27.33
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PRDO is currently trading at $33.02, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $30.95 to $33.12. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.8) is in line with its historical norms (10.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 21.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PRDO is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $33.20. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 58/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $44.00 (+35.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PRDO is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $33.20. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 58/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $44.00 (+35.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$30.95 -
$33.12
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (58/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 35.5% below Wall St target ($44.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$30.95 -
$33.12
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$30.67
Resistance Level
$33.21
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.84
Wall Street Target
$44.00
(+35.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
21.0%
Profit Margin
20.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.8 vs 10.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$31.73
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$31.00
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$30.29
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10â11)
$32.62
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 5.4%)
$77.62
(+139%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.8, Growth: 5.4%)
$38.06
(+17%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.4, Growth: 5.4%)
$32.36
(0%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.88 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.75
Bull Case
$43.11
(+31%)
Analyst growth 20.0%, PE expands to 13.1
Base Case
$39.19
(+19%)
Market implied 20.0%, PE stable at 11.9
Bear Case
$22.21
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.8 to 10.6
Stabilization Target:
$34.98
(+7.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 4:24 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:24 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:24 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PRDO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
8
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Greg E Jansen
SELL
30158 shares
2026-04-06
Ashish R Ghia
SELL
11089 shares
2026-03-25
Todd S Nelson
SELL
4387 shares
2026-03-25
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