PSEC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PSEC - Prospect Capital Corporation
$2.33
0.05 (2.19%)
▲
5d:
+1.3%
30d:
+10.43%
90d:
+3.1%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 25, 2026
1d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PSEC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PSEC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1.31
Based on -10.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$0.81
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PSEC is currently trading at $2.33, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.17 to $2.30. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.7) is in line with its historical norms (6.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PSEC is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $2.37. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PSEC scores 72/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $2.00. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PSEC is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $2.37. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PSEC scores 72/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $2.00. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$2.17 -
$2.30
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (72/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 14.2% above Wall St target ($2.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.0% growth with -12.1% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$2.17 -
$2.30
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$2.21
Resistance Level
$2.37
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.66
Wall Street Target
$2.00
(-14.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-12.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-78.2%
Profit Margin
-5.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.0% premium
PE vs Historical
6.7 vs 6.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$2.35
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$2.38
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$2.40
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$2.34
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: -23.9%)
$5.12
(+120%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.7, Growth: -23.9%)
$1.70
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.7, Growth: -23.9%)
$1.44
(-38%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 7:08 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:08 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:08 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PSEC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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