PSEC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PSEC - Prospect Capital Corporation
$2.25
-0.01 (-0.44%)
▼
5d:
+2.27%
30d:
+0.45%
90d:
-14.12%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 25, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PSEC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PSEC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1.31
Based on -10.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$0.81
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PSEC is currently trading at $2.25, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.21 to $2.29. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.4) is in line with its historical norms (6.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PSEC is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $2.19. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $2.00. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PSEC is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $2.19. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $2.00. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$2.21 -
$2.29
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 11.1% above Wall St target ($2.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$2.21 -
$2.29
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$2.19
Resistance Level
$2.52
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.43
Wall Street Target
$2.00
(-11.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-12.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-78.2%
Profit Margin
-5.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.4 vs 6.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$2.25
(0%)
2-Year Target
$2.24
(0%)
3-Year Target
$2.24
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→7)
$2.26
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -23.9%)
$5.56
(+147%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.4, Growth: -23.9%)
$1.64
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.5, Growth: -23.9%)
$1.39
(-38%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.4 to 6.5
Stabilization Target:
$2.28
(+1.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 6:01 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:01 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:01 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PSEC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
M Grier Eliasek
BUY
942800 shares
2026-02-11
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