Prospect Capital (PSEC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$1.50
+0.00 (+0.00%)
▲
5d:
+4.17%
30d:
-10.18%
90d:
-36.17%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
HIGH Confidence (91%)
Quality Score
55/100
Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
30-Day Fair Range
$1.45 – $1.73
Position: SLIGHTLY LOW
Forward P/E & Valuation
4.3x
CHEAP
vs 6.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$2.00
+33.3% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$1.29 / $1.66
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PSEC trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -11.6% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1.25
Based on -10.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$0.77
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PSEC is currently trading at $1.50, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $1.45 to $1.73. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 4.3) compared to its historical average (6.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PSEC is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $1.29, while resistance sits at $1.66.
Market Sentiment: PSEC scores 81/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $2.00 (+33.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PSEC is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $1.29, while resistance sits at $1.66.
Market Sentiment: PSEC scores 81/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $2.00 (+33.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$1.45 -
$1.73
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$1.45 -
$1.73
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support Level
$1.29
Resistance Level
$1.66
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (81/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 33.3% below Wall St target ($2.00)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 81/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.29
Wall Street Target
$2.00
(+33.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-78.2%
Profit Margin
8.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.3 vs 6.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$1.35
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$1.21
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$1.09
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→6)
$1.58
(+6%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -23.9%)
$5.07
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.3, Growth: -23.9%)
$1.09
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.6, Growth: -23.9%)
$0.93
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (4x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.00 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.06
Bull Case
$3.17
(+129%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 26.4
Base Case
$2.88
(+108%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 24.0
Bear Case
$0.98
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.3 to 6.2
Stabilization Target:
$2.17
(+44.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+44.7%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (PSEC)
Bullish
4 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
3 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 12, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
StockTwits messages indicate bullish sentiment towards $PSEC, with traders sharing their profitable trades and positive outlook.
Key Retail Themes:
Bullish sentiment
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 3:31 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:31 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:31 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PSEC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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