PTEN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PTEN - Patterson-UTI Energy Inc
$10.30
-0.19 (-1.77%)
▼
5d:
+9.4%
30d:
+18.88%
90d:
-14.14%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PTEN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 33.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PTEN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 33.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$7.81
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.85
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PTEN is currently trading at $10.29, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.12 to $10.22. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 41.8) compared to its historical average (139.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 33.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PTEN is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $9.07, while resistance sits at $11.03.
Market Sentiment: PTEN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.00 (+39.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PTEN is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $9.07, while resistance sits at $11.03.
Market Sentiment: PTEN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.00 (+39.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$9.12 -
$10.22
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 39.3% below Wall St target ($13.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.12 -
$10.22
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.07
Resistance Level
$11.03
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
41.84
Wall Street Target
$13.00
(+39.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-12.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-97.9%
Profit Margin
-2.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-33.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
41.8 vs 139.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-33.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.40
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$7.56
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$6.80
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 42→140)
$22.71
(+143%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 41.8 to 139.7
Stabilization Target:
$31.15
(+233.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+233.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 12:34 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:34 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:34 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PTEN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Robert Wayne Drummond Jr
SELL
164775 shares
2026-03-16
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