NE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NE - Noble Corporation plc
$41.79
1.82 (4.55%)
▲
5d:
+11.71%
30d:
-9.68%
90d:
-14.59%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
20d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NE trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -8.6% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NE trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -8.6% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$106.30
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$66.01
36.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NE is currently trading at $41.79, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $38.30 to $45.11. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.1) compared to its historical average (22.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 11.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NE is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $44.62. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: NE has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $48.10 (+15.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NE is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $44.62. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: NE has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $48.10 (+15.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$38.30 -
$45.11
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
85.7%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($48.10)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$38.30 -
$45.11
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$44.62
Resistance Level
$49.10
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.07
Wall Street Target
$48.10
(+15.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-10.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
11.9%
Profit Margin
7.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.1 vs 22.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$38.20
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$34.91
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$31.91
(-24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→22)
$41.68
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 148.6%)
$179.94
(+331%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.1, Growth: 148.6%)
$141.04
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.5, Growth: 148.6%)
$119.89
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.95 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.43
Bull Case
$75.26
(+80%)
Analyst growth 71.2%, PE expands to 30.8
Base Case
$68.42
(+64%)
Market implied 71.2%, PE stable at 28.0
Bear Case
$27.18
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.1 to 22.3
Stabilization Target:
$54.59
(+30.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+30.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 2:49 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:49 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:49 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
9
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Richard B Barker
SELL
150000 shares
2026-03-18
Robert W Eifler
SELL
100000 shares
2026-03-18
Charles M Sledge
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2083 shares
2026-02-19
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