Noble (NE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NE - Noble Corporation plc
$47.70
3.75 (8.53%)
▲
5d:
+8.21%
30d:
+9.05%
90d:
+10.65%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 26, 2026
1d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$84.27
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$52.32
8.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NE is currently trading at $47.70, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $41.85 to $44.85. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 24.1) compared to its historical average (21.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NE is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $47.82. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 8.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: NE scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NE is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $47.82. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 8.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: NE scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$41.85 -
$44.85
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
24.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding NE? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+6.4% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+8.5%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($46.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$41.85 -
$44.85
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$41.95
Resistance Level
$47.82
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.14
Wall Street Target
$46.50
(-2.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-16.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
11.9%
Profit Margin
5.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.4% premium
PE vs Historical
24.1 vs 21.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$49.32
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$51.00
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$52.73
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24→22)
PE COMPRESSION
$47.84
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.1, Growth: 293.2%)
$160.99
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 293.2%)
$132.44
(+178%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 293.2%)
$112.57
(+136%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (47x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 46.76 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.94
Bull Case
$96.69
(+103%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 51.4
Base Case
$87.90
(+84%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 46.8
Bear Case
$29.89
(-37%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 39.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 24, 2026 2:02 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:02 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:02 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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