Noble (NE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

NE - Noble Corporation plc

DRILLING OIL & GAS WELLS
$45.28
-0.46 (-1.01%) â–ŧ
5d: -2.81%
30d: +2.72%
90d: -1.84%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Protect Your NE Gains
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 26, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 4, 2026 at $45.61 · last confirmed Sep 9, 2026

Strength: 7.3/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: NE is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.4% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$86.97
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$54.00
16.2% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: NE is currently trading at $45.28, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $42.63 to $46.90. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 22.2) is in line with its historical norms (21.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, NE is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $44.69. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $42.63 - $46.90
Company Quality Score 48/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 68.6%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (43/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($48.45)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $42.63 - $46.90
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $44.69
Resistance Level $48.51
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 22.20
Wall Street Target $48.45 (+7.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -16.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 11.9%
Profit Margin 5.2%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.4% premium
PE vs Historical 22.2 vs 21.9 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $45.46 (+0%)
2-Year Target $45.64 (+1%)
3-Year Target $45.83 (+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 22→22) PE COMPRESSION $45.20 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.2, Growth: 304.1%) $152.82 (+238%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 304.1%) $138.82 (+207%)
Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: 304.1%) $118.00 (+161%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (48x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 48.15 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.95
Bull Case $100.63 (+122%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 53.0
Base Case $91.48 (+102%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 48.2
Bear Case $31.10 (-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 40.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: September 12, 2026 7:37 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:37 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Richard B Barker SELL 150000 shares 2026-03-18
Robert W Eifler SELL 100000 shares 2026-03-18

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Advanced NE Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NE price and gamma walls.

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