NE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NE - Noble Corporation plc
$46.65
-0.48 (-1.02%)
▼
5d:
-1.56%
30d:
-8.4%
90d:
+1.81%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$117.76
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$73.12
36.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NE is currently trading at $46.65, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $48.12 to $52.83. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 18.1) compared to its historical average (23.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 11.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NE is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $45.98. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NE is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $45.98. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$48.12 -
$52.83
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
41th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 41th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($50.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$48.12 -
$52.83
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.54
(5.5%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$45.98
Resistance Level
$54.98
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.13
Wall Street Target
$50.00
(+7.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-10.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
11.9%
Profit Margin
7.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.1 vs 23.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$42.78
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$39.23
(-16%)
3-Year Target
$35.97
(-23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→24)
$46.63
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 151.0%)
$190.29
(+308%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.1, Growth: 151.0%)
$157.44
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.4, Growth: 151.0%)
$133.83
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 33.14 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.43
Bull Case
$93.81
(+99%)
Analyst growth 80.0%, PE expands to 36.5
Base Case
$85.28
(+81%)
Market implied 80.0%, PE stable at 33.1
Bear Case
$32.23
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.1 to 23.5
Stabilization Target:
$60.47
(+29.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+29.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 5:57 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:57 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:57 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
9
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Richard B Barker
SELL
150000 shares
2026-03-18
Robert W Eifler
SELL
100000 shares
2026-03-18
Charles M Sledge
SELL
2083 shares
2026-02-19
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Advanced NE Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NE price and gamma walls.
