QDEL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
QDEL - QuidelOrtho Corporation Common Stock
$18.58
0.31 (1.70%)
▲
5d:
+3.22%
30d:
+37.63%
90d:
+34.15%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
21d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: QDEL is 9.0% above its trading range ($17.05). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: QDEL is 9.0% above its trading range ($17.05). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$36.38
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.59
17.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: QDEL is currently trading at $18.58, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.91 to $17.05. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.4) is in line with its historical norms (7.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, QDEL is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $13.52, while resistance sits at $19.80.
Market Sentiment: QDEL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.50 (+12.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, QDEL is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $13.52, while resistance sits at $19.80.
Market Sentiment: QDEL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.50 (+12.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$12.91 -
$17.05
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding QDEL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+9.0% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($20.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.91 -
$17.05
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.52
Resistance Level
$19.80
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 10, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.43
Wall Street Target
$20.50
(+12.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-10.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-77.1%
Profit Margin
-45.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.4 vs 7.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.14
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$18.02
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$17.89
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→8)
$18.29
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 32.5%)
$124.55
(+582%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.4, Growth: 32.5%)
$42.50
(+133%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.3, Growth: 32.5%)
$36.13
(+98%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.4 to 7.6
Stabilization Target:
$18.68
(+2.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 11:12 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:12 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:12 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is QDEL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Brian J Blaser
BUY
10540 shares
2026-02-13
Joseph M Busky
BUY
3370 shares
2026-02-13
Matthew Strobeck
BUY
10000 shares
2026-02-13
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Advanced QDEL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's QDEL price and gamma walls.
