QuidelOrtho (QDEL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
QDEL - QuidelOrtho Corporation Common Stock
$14.08
-0.13 (-0.91%)
▼
5d:
+1.51%
30d:
+28.7%
90d:
-15.08%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
11d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: QDEL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: QDEL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.68
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.46
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: QDEL is currently trading at $14.08, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.55 to $13.24. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 9.9) compared to its historical average (7.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, QDEL is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $11.72, while resistance sits at $14.65.
Market Sentiment: QDEL scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, QDEL is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $11.72, while resistance sits at $14.65.
Market Sentiment: QDEL scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$10.55 -
$13.24
Company Quality Score
30/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
22.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding QDEL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+6.3% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($14.67)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 8.2% growth with 2.8% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 30/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.55 -
$13.24
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.72
Resistance Level
$14.65
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.86
Wall Street Target
$14.67
(+4.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-77.1%
Profit Margin
-39.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+8.2% premium
PE vs Historical
9.9 vs 7.8
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+8.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.23
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$16.48
(+17%)
3-Year Target
$17.84
(+27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$14.10
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 84.6%)
$95.68
(+580%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.9, Growth: 84.6%)
$47.52
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.8, Growth: 84.6%)
$37.58
(+167%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 5:30 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:30 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:30 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is QDEL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced QDEL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's QDEL price and gamma walls.
