QuidelOrtho (QDEL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
QDEL - QuidelOrtho Corporation Common Stock
$10.38
-0.16 (-1.52%)
▼
5d:
-2.9%
30d:
-24.51%
90d:
-43.12%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: QDEL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: QDEL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.62
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.43
22.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: QDEL is currently trading at $10.38, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.57 to $14.06. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.2) is in line with its historical norms (7.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, QDEL is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $9.93, while resistance sits at $11.14.
Market Sentiment: QDEL scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.67 (+41.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, QDEL is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $9.93, while resistance sits at $11.14.
Market Sentiment: QDEL scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.67 (+41.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$10.57 -
$14.06
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding QDEL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (63/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 41.3% below Wall St target ($14.67)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 38% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.57 -
$14.06
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.93
Resistance Level
$11.15
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.20
Wall Street Target
$14.67
(+41.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-77.1%
Profit Margin
-39.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.2 vs 7.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.14
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$9.91
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$9.68
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→8)
$10.36
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 86.2%)
$99.29
(+857%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.2, Growth: 86.2%)
$35.03
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.1, Growth: 86.2%)
$29.78
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.2 to 7.7
Stabilization Target:
$11.10
(+7.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 12:48 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:48 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:48 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is QDEL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced QDEL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's QDEL price and gamma walls.
