RGA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

RGA - Reinsurance Group of America, Incorporated

LIFE INSURANCE
$243.13
0.58 (0.24%) ▲
5d: -2.53%
30d: +3.78%
90d: +12.99%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: RGA is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 3.9% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$275.66
Based on 4.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$171.17
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: RGA is currently trading at $243.13, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $235.96 to $245.00. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 8.4) compared to its historical average (7.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, RGA is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $239.23. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: RGA scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $235.96 - $245.00
Company Quality Score 48/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 39.0%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (30/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($266.89)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $235.96 - $245.00
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $239.23
Resistance Level $251.00
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 8.44
Wall Street Target $266.89 (+7.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 18.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 159.6%
Profit Margin 5.8%
Valuation Premium vs History +3.9% premium
PE vs Historical 8.4 vs 7.5 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +3.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $259.18 (+4%)
2-Year Target $269.29 (+8%)
3-Year Target $279.79 (+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 8→8) PE COMPRESSION $248.71 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 4.9%) $690.72 (+177%)
Base: (SPY PE: 8.4, Growth: 4.9%) $288.07 (+16%)
Bear: (PE: 7.2, Growth: 4.9%) $244.86 (-2%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.83 | Current EPS (TTM): $23.11
Bull Case $352.35 (+45%)
Analyst growth 27.9%, PE expands to 11.9
Base Case $320.32 (+32%)
Market implied 27.9%, PE stable at 10.8
Bear Case $170.26 (-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: August 22, 2026 10:21 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:21 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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