RGA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

RGA - Reinsurance Group of America, Incorporated

LIFE INSURANCE
$250.38
4.30 (1.75%) ▲
5d: +5.95%
30d: +6.89%
90d: +20.39%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: RGA is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.0% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$275.66
Based on 4.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$171.17
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: RGA is currently trading at $250.38, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $231.89 to $243.17. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 8.5) compared to its historical average (7.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, RGA is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $250.71. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $231.89 - $243.17
Company Quality Score 55/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 47.1%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (42/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($266.89)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (42/100) — watch for confirmation

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $231.89 - $243.17
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $232.41
Resistance Level $250.71
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 13, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 8.47
Wall Street Target $266.89 (+6.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 18.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 159.6%
Profit Margin 5.8%
Valuation Premium vs History +4.0% premium
PE vs Historical 8.5 vs 7.5 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +4.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $260.40 (+4%)
2-Year Target $270.81 (+8%)
3-Year Target $281.64 (+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 8→8) PE COMPRESSION $249.43 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 4.9%) $690.72 (+176%)
Base: (SPY PE: 8.5, Growth: 4.9%) $289.15 (+16%)
Bear: (PE: 7.2, Growth: 4.9%) $245.77 (-2%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.77 | Current EPS (TTM): $22.84
Bull Case $350.40 (+40%)
Analyst growth 29.4%, PE expands to 11.9
Base Case $318.54 (+27%)
Market implied 29.4%, PE stable at 10.8
Bear Case $167.33 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: August 13, 2026 10:24 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:24 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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