HG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HG - Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. Class B Common Shares
$34.85
-0.05 (-0.14%)
▼
5d:
-3.49%
30d:
-1.19%
90d:
+9.21%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
Get Alerted When HG Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: HG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$30.87
Based on -0.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.16
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HG is currently trading at $34.85, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $34.82 to $35.59. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.4) is in line with its historical norms (6.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HG is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $34.26. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $38.57 (+10.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HG is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $34.26. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $38.57 (+10.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$34.82 -
$35.59
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
80.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (44/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($38.57)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.2% growth with 13.0% revenue growth
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (44/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$34.82 -
$35.59
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$34.26
Resistance Level
$36.75
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.36
Wall Street Target
$38.57
(+10.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-20.7%
Profit Margin
19.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.2% premium
PE vs Historical
7.4 vs 6.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$35.97
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$37.12
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$38.30
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$34.87
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: -5.0%)
$81.94
(+135%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.4, Growth: -5.0%)
$29.90
(-14%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.3, Growth: -5.0%)
$25.41
(-27%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 6.01 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.81
Bull Case
$31.29
(-10%)
Analyst growth -18.5%, PE expands to 6.6
Base Case
$28.45
(-18%)
Market implied -18.5%, PE stable at 6.0
Bear Case
$23.73
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 11, 2026 10:58 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:58 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:58 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is HG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Bradley E Cooper
BUY
99 shares
2026-04-08
Top Rated Insurance - Reinsurance Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Insurance - Reinsurance by analyst ratings.
