HG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HG - Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. Class B Common Shares
$35.96
0.29 (0.81%)
▲
5d:
-0.55%
30d:
+6.45%
90d:
+9.73%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
3d
Get Alerted When HG Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HG trades at premium valuation expecting 5.6% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: HG trades at premium valuation expecting 5.6% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$34.29
Based on 2.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.29
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HG is currently trading at $35.96, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $33.58 to $35.81. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 7.7) compared to its historical average (6.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HG is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $33.84, while resistance sits at $37.31.
Market Sentiment: HG has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HG is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $33.84, while resistance sits at $37.31.
Market Sentiment: HG has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$33.58 -
$35.81
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
56.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($35.86)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.6% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$33.58 -
$35.81
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$33.85
Resistance Level
$37.31
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.71
Wall Street Target
$35.86
(-0.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
70.1%
Profit Margin
21.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.6% premium
PE vs Historical
7.7 vs 6.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$37.97
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$40.10
(+12%)
3-Year Target
$42.35
(+18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$35.70
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 1.0%)
$99.62
(+177%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.7, Growth: 1.0%)
$37.06
(+3%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.5, Growth: 1.0%)
$31.24
(-13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 6.01 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.94
Bull Case
$30.81
(-14%)
Analyst growth -21.5%, PE expands to 6.6
Base Case
$28.00
(-22%)
Market implied -21.5%, PE stable at 6.0
Bear Case
$24.26
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 6:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:32 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:32 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is HG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Bradley E Cooper
BUY
99 shares
2026-04-08
Top Rated Insurance - Reinsurance Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Insurance - Reinsurance by analyst ratings.
