RenaissanceRe (RNR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

RNR - RenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd.

FIRE, MARINE & CASUALTY INSURANCE
$324.50
1.50 (0.47%) ▲
5d: -0.34%
30d: -2.03%
90d: +0.43%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026 24d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: RNR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$268.34
Based on -2.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$166.62
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.6x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: RNR is currently trading at $324.50, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $323.95 to $331.32. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.1) is in line with its historical norms (7.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, RNR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $316.60. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: RNR scores 62/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $323.95 - $331.32
Company Quality Score 62/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 89.0%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (62/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($347.56)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.3% growth with -13.2% revenue growth
  • CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 15% over 20 days — wait for relative strength

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $323.95 - $331.32
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $316.60
Resistance Level $333.67
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Oct 1, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 8.10
Wall Street Target $347.56 (+7.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -13.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -10.0%
Profit Margin 23.6%
Valuation Premium vs History +2.3% premium
PE vs Historical 8.1 vs 7.6 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +2.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $330.42 (+2%)
2-Year Target $338.02 (+5%)
3-Year Target $345.79 (+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 8→8) PE COMPRESSION $324.41 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.4, Growth: -8.6%) $620.53 (+92%)
Base: (SPY PE: 8.1, Growth: -8.6%) $246.41 (-24%)
Bear: (PE: 6.9, Growth: -8.6%) $209.45 (-35%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 5.52 | Current EPS (TTM): $57.67
Bull Case $242.01 (-25%)
Analyst growth -30.9%, PE expands to 6.1
Base Case $220.01 (-32%)
Market implied -30.9%, PE stable at 5.5
Bear Case $216.40 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 4.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: October 02, 2026 11:34 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:34 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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