RIG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RIG - Transocean LTD.
$5.28
-0.30 (-5.47%)
▼
5d:
-12.52%
30d:
-29.19%
90d:
-18.34%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 10.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: RIG is down 12.5% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: RIG is down 12.5% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.52
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.39
37.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RIG is currently trading at $5.28, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.80 to $6.91. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 20.1) compared to its historical average (35.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 17.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RIG is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.81. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.30 (+13.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RIG is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.81. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.30 (+13.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$5.80 -
$6.91
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding RIG? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($6.30)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -12.5% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$5.80 -
$6.91
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.81
Resistance Level
$6.43
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.09
Wall Street Target
$6.30
(+13.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.3%
Profit Margin
-66.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-17.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.1 vs 35.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-17.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$5.02
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$4.52
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$4.07
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→35)
$7.17
(+28%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 115.4%)
$20.41
(+266%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 115.4%)
$18.83
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 115.4%)
$16.01
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.1 to 35.4
Stabilization Target:
$9.83
(+76.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+76.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 18, 2026 1:53 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:53 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:53 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RIG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Roderick James Mackenzie
SELL
78370 shares
2026-03-04
Keelan Adamson
SELL
58687 shares
2026-01-27
Keelan Adamson
SELL
22846 shares
2026-01-26
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Advanced RIG Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's RIG price and gamma walls.
