RIG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RIG - Transocean LTD.
$5.37
0.17 (3.27%)
▲
5d:
+8.92%
30d:
-10.65%
90d:
-17.64%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
21d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.1/10
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2 traders called RIG this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: RIG trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -16.5% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: RIG trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -16.5% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.34
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.28
35.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RIG is currently trading at $5.37, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.01 to $5.87. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.6) compared to its historical average (33.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 16.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RIG is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.81. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: RIG has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.26 (+16.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RIG is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.81. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: RIG has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.26 (+16.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$5.01 -
$5.87
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
85.7%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($6.26)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$5.01 -
$5.87
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.81
Resistance Level
$6.43
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.60
Wall Street Target
$6.26
(+16.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.3%
Profit Margin
-66.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-16.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.6 vs 33.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-16.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.83
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$4.35
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$3.91
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→34)
$6.73
(+25%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 102.1%)
$20.14
(+275%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.6, Growth: 102.1%)
$18.12
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.7, Growth: 102.1%)
$15.41
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.6 to 33.7
Stabilization Target:
$9.23
(+72.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+72.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 8:04 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:04 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:04 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RIG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Roderick James Mackenzie
SELL
78370 shares
2026-03-04
Keelan Adamson
SELL
58687 shares
2026-01-27
Keelan Adamson
SELL
22846 shares
2026-01-26
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's RIG price and gamma walls.