RIG
Transocean LTD.
DRILLING OIL & GAS WELLS
Transocean (RIG) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$5.31
+0.13 (+2.51%)
â˛
5d:
-2.57%
30d:
-6.02%
90d:
-7.17%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 02, 2026
0d
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Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (80%)
Quality Score
47/100
Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
30-Day Fair Range
$5.29 â $6.31
Position: SLIGHTLY LOW
Forward P/E & Valuation
19.0x
CHEAP
vs 28.9x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$6.52
+22.8% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$5.04 / $7.04
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: RIG is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -13.0% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Nov 3, 2026 at $6.04 · last confirmed Nov 5, 2026
Strength: 10.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.61
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.45
37.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RIG is currently trading at $5.31, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.29 to $6.31. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.0) compared to its historical average (28.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RIG is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $5.04, while resistance sits at $7.04.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.52 (+22.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RIG is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $5.04, while resistance sits at $7.04.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.52 (+22.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$5.29 -
$6.31
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$5.29 -
$6.31
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support Level
$5.04
Resistance Level
$7.04
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
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View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (44/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 22.8% below Wall St target ($6.52)
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.99
Wall Street Target
$6.52
(+22.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.9%
Profit Margin
7.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-13.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.0 vs 28.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-13.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.78
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$4.30
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$3.87
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19â29)
$5.89
(+11%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 79.2%)
$18.74
(+253%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.0, Growth: 79.2%)
$17.92
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.1, Growth: 79.2%)
$15.23
(+187%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 12.05 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.43
Bull Case
$3.71
(-30%)
Analyst growth -35.0%, PE expands to 13.3
Base Case
$3.37
(-37%)
Market implied -35.0%, PE stable at 12.1
Bear Case
$3.52
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.0 to 28.9
Stabilization Target:
$8.08
(+52.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+52.2%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (RIG)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 3, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Transocean reported lower-than-expected earnings and revenue for Q3 2026, with adjusted earnings coming in at less than 1 cent per share.
Key Retail Themes:
earnings miss
low volume trading
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 8:38 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:38 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:38 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
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Sells
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Net
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