RIG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RIG - Transocean LTD.
$5.29
-0.12 (-2.22%)
▼
5d:
-9.26%
30d:
-22.43%
90d:
-18.11%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 9.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: RIG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: RIG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.52
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.39
37.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RIG is currently trading at $5.29, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.63 to $6.84. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.1) compared to its historical average (35.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 18.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RIG is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.81. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: RIG has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.30 (+19.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RIG is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.81. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: RIG has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.30 (+19.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$5.63 -
$6.84
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding RIG? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($6.30)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-9.3%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$5.63 -
$6.84
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.81
Resistance Level
$6.43
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.05
Wall Street Target
$6.30
(+19.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.3%
Profit Margin
-66.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-18.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.1 vs 35.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-18.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.76
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$4.28
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$3.86
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→35)
$7.11
(+34%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 115.4%)
$20.41
(+286%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.0, Growth: 115.4%)
$17.85
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.2, Growth: 115.4%)
$15.18
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.0 to 35.1
Stabilization Target:
$9.75
(+84.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+84.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 5:10 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:10 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:10 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RIG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Roderick James Mackenzie
SELL
78370 shares
2026-03-04
Keelan Adamson
SELL
58687 shares
2026-01-27
Keelan Adamson
SELL
22846 shares
2026-01-26
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Advanced RIG Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's RIG price and gamma walls.
