ROK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ROK - Rockwell Automation, Inc.
$460.45
-11.67 (-2.47%)
▼
5d:
-4.64%
30d:
+4.63%
90d:
+16.28%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
21d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
🚀 STRONG BUY: ROK shows excellent value with unusually cheap options (IV 19th percentile) and market pricing in only 1.1% annual growth despite strong fundamentals. High conviction opportunity.
🚀 STRONG BUY: ROK shows excellent value with unusually cheap options (IV 19th percentile) and market pricing in only 1.1% annual growth despite strong fundamentals. High conviction opportunity.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$538.45
Based on 8.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$334.34
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ROK is currently trading at $460.45, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $454.65 to $479.48. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 31.5) is in line with its historical norms (30.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ROK is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $456.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (19th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ROK is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $456.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (19th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$454.65 -
$479.48
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
19th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
80.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 19th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($468.81)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$454.65 -
$479.48
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$27.17
(5.9%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$456.00
Resistance Level
$497.36
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
31.50
Wall Street Target
$468.81
(+1.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
39.6%
Profit Margin
12.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.1% premium
PE vs Historical
31.5 vs 30.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$465.51
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$470.64
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$475.81
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 32→31)
PE COMPRESSION
$460.69
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 31.5, Growth: 12.2%)
$650.88
(+41%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 12.2%)
$450.03
(-2%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 12.2%)
$382.52
(-17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (49x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (32x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 49.03 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.63
Bull Case
$788.27
(+71%)
Analyst growth 51.8%, PE expands to 53.9
Base Case
$716.61
(+56%)
Market implied 51.8%, PE stable at 49.0
Bear Case
$321.04
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 41.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 3:03 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:03 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:03 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ROK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
13
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Matthew W Fordenwalt
SELL
1200 shares
2026-04-13
Cyril Perducat
SELL
198 shares
2026-04-10
Matheus De A G Viera Bul…
SELL
1250 shares
2026-04-08
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Advanced ROK Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ROK price and gamma walls.
