RPD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RPD - Rapid7, Inc. Common Stock
$10.25
0.59 (6.17%)
▲
5d:
+6.5%
30d:
+10.28%
90d:
+61.34%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026
6d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: RPD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.5% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: RPD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.5% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$4.30
Based on -11.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.67
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RPD is currently trading at $10.24, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.03 to $11.67. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 6.2) compared to its historical average (5.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RPD is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $8.68, while resistance sits at $11.46. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $8.20. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RPD is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $8.68, while resistance sits at $11.46. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $8.20. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$8.03 -
$11.67
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+6.2%)
- BEARISH: Trading 15.0% above Wall St target ($8.20)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.5% growth with -0.3% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$8.03 -
$11.67
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.68
Resistance Level
$11.47
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.22
Wall Street Target
$8.20
(-15.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-43.1%
Profit Margin
2.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.5% premium
PE vs Historical
6.2 vs 5.3
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.18
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$10.74
(+11%)
3-Year Target
$11.33
(+17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→5)
PE COMPRESSION
$9.66
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: -27.0%)
$31.92
(+231%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.2, Growth: -27.0%)
$9.57
(-1%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.3, Growth: -27.0%)
$8.14
(-16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.09 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.35
Bull Case
$20.86
(+116%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 29.8
Base Case
$18.96
(+97%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 27.1
Bear Case
$6.45
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 2:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:39 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:39 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RPD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Scott M Murphy
SELL
827 shares
2026-04-22
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