RPD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RPD - Rapid7, Inc. Common Stock
$6.73
-0.04 (-0.59%)
▼
5d:
-5.61%
30d:
-3.3%
90d:
+6.66%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: RPD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: RPD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$3.89
Based on -12.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.42
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RPD is currently trading at $6.73, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.57 to $7.78. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 4.3) compared to its historical average (5.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RPD is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $6.45, while resistance sits at $7.95.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RPD is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $6.45, while resistance sits at $7.95.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$6.57 -
$7.78
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding RPD? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($7.30)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.6% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$6.57 -
$7.78
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$6.45
Resistance Level
$7.95
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.34
Wall Street Target
$7.30
(+8.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-43.1%
Profit Margin
2.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.3 vs 5.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$6.36
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$6.01
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$5.68
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→5)
$6.68
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -28.9%)
$33.50
(+398%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.3, Growth: -28.9%)
$6.67
(-1%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.7, Growth: -28.9%)
$5.67
(-16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (4x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.94 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.35
Bull Case
$14.59
(+117%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 20.8
Base Case
$13.26
(+97%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 18.9
Bear Case
$4.51
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.3 to 5.1
Stabilization Target:
$7.91
(+17.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+17.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 21, 2026 7:04 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:04 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:04 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RPD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Scott M Murphy
SELL
827 shares
2026-04-22
Scott M Murphy
SELL
764 shares
2026-01-22
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