RSKD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RSKD - Riskified Ltd.
$4.91
0.04 (0.93%)
▲
5d:
-0.91%
30d:
+2.19%
90d:
+17.06%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 17, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: RSKD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: RSKD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$10.49
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.51
24.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RSKD is currently trading at $4.91, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.75 to $4.96. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.3) is in line with its historical norms (14.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RSKD is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $4.62, while resistance sits at $5.09.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.55 (+14.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RSKD is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $4.62, while resistance sits at $5.09.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.55 (+14.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$4.75 -
$4.96
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
48.6%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($5.55)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$4.75 -
$4.96
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.62
Resistance Level
$5.09
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.35
Wall Street Target
$5.55
(+14.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.1%
Profit Margin
-5.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.4 vs 14.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.69
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$4.54
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$4.38
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→15)
$4.86
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 52.9%)
$26.76
(+451%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.4, Growth: 52.9%)
$16.40
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.3, Growth: 52.9%)
$13.94
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.4 to 14.8
Stabilization Target:
$5.39
(+10.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 2:51 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:51 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:51 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RSKD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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