Riskified (RSKD) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RSKD - Riskified Ltd.
$6.09
0.12 (2.01%)
▲
5d:
-12.12%
30d:
-3.64%
90d:
+23.53%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: RSKD is down 12.1% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: RSKD is down 12.1% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$11.17
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.93
12.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RSKD is currently trading at $6.09, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.49 to $6.46. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.7) is in line with its historical norms (14.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RSKD is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $5.79, while resistance sits at $6.98.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RSKD is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $5.79, while resistance sits at $6.98.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$5.49 -
$6.46
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (47/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($6.65)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$5.49 -
$6.46
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.79
Resistance Level
$6.98
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.72
Wall Street Target
$6.65
(+9.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
21.8%
Profit Margin
-4.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.0% premium
PE vs Historical
15.7 vs 14.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$6.21
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$6.34
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$6.46
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$6.09
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 53.5%)
$26.38
(+333%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.7, Growth: 53.5%)
$20.55
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.4, Growth: 53.5%)
$17.47
(+187%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 6:14 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:14 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:14 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RSKD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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