RSKD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RSKD - Riskified Ltd.
$4.97
0.10 (2.16%)
▲
5d:
+0.3%
30d:
+3.44%
90d:
+18.5%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 17, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: RSKD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: RSKD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$10.49
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.51
23.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RSKD is currently trading at $4.96, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.75 to $4.95. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.3) is in line with its historical norms (14.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RSKD is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $5.09. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.55 (+14.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RSKD is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $5.09. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.55 (+14.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$4.75 -
$4.95
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($5.55)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$4.75 -
$4.95
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.62
Resistance Level
$5.09
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.35
Wall Street Target
$5.55
(+14.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.1%
Profit Margin
-5.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.4 vs 14.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.69
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$4.54
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$4.38
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→15)
$4.86
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 52.9%)
$26.76
(+451%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.4, Growth: 52.9%)
$16.40
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.3, Growth: 52.9%)
$13.94
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.4 to 14.8
Stabilization Target:
$5.39
(+10.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 1:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:43 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:43 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RSKD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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