Riskified (RSKD) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RSKD - Riskified Ltd.
$8.92
-0.03 (-0.34%)
▼
5d:
+3.6%
30d:
+24.93%
90d:
+77.69%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 11, 2026
19d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: RSKD shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: RSKD shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$11.70
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.26
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RSKD is currently trading at $8.92, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.86 to $8.57. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 23.0) compared to its historical average (15.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 14.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RSKD is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $9.09. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: RSKD scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $7.65. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RSKD is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $9.09. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: RSKD scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $7.65. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$6.86 -
$8.57
Company Quality Score
38/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
18.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (5/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 14.2% above Wall St target ($7.65)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 14.2% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$6.86 -
$8.57
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$7.60
Resistance Level
$9.09
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.02
Wall Street Target
$7.65
(-14.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
21.8%
Profit Margin
-4.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+14.2% premium
PE vs Historical
23.0 vs 15.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+14.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.19
(+14%)
2-Year Target
$11.63
(+30%)
3-Year Target
$13.29
(+49%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$8.95
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.0, Growth: 52.0%)
$30.11
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 52.0%)
$25.97
(+191%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.5, Growth: 52.0%)
$20.27
(+127%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 5:37 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:37 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:37 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RSKD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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