Riskified (RSKD) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RSKD - Riskified Ltd.
$7.90
-0.04 (-0.44%)
▼
5d:
+1.48%
30d:
+18.72%
90d:
+50.38%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 11, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: RSKD shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: RSKD shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$11.32
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.03
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RSKD is currently trading at $7.89, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.94 to $7.32. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 20.5) compared to its historical average (15.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 10.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RSKD is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $6.14, while resistance sits at $8.17.
Market Sentiment: RSKD scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RSKD is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $6.14, while resistance sits at $8.17.
Market Sentiment: RSKD scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$5.94 -
$7.32
Company Quality Score
33/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
15.7%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.9% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($7.25)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 10.8% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 33/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$5.94 -
$7.32
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$6.14
Resistance Level
$8.17
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.46
Wall Street Target
$7.25
(-8.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
21.8%
Profit Margin
-4.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+10.8% premium
PE vs Historical
20.5 vs 15.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+10.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.79
(+11%)
2-Year Target
$9.74
(+23%)
3-Year Target
$10.79
(+36%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$7.91
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.5, Growth: 53.5%)
$26.76
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 53.5%)
$26.68
(+236%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.0, Growth: 53.5%)
$19.62
(+147%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 11:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:11 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:11 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RSKD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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