RSKD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RSKD - Riskified Ltd.
$5.90
-0.05 (-0.84%)
âŧ
5d:
-9.79%
30d:
+18.95%
90d:
+22.92%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: RSKD is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 3.2% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: RSKD is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 3.2% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$11.16
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.93
14.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RSKD is currently trading at $5.90, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.01 to $5.94. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.1) is in line with its historical norms (14.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RSKD is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $5.23, while resistance sits at $6.61.
Market Sentiment: RSKD scores 8/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RSKD is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $5.23, while resistance sits at $6.61.
Market Sentiment: RSKD scores 8/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$5.01 -
$5.94
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
39.0%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (8/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($6.70)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$5.01 -
$5.94
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.23
Resistance Level
$6.61
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.15
Wall Street Target
$6.70
(+6.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
21.8%
Profit Margin
-4.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.2% premium
PE vs Historical
16.2 vs 14.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$6.50
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$6.71
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$6.92
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16â15)
PE COMPRESSION
$6.30
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 56.0%)
$26.47
(+320%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.2, Growth: 56.0%)
$21.26
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.7, Growth: 56.0%)
$18.07
(+187%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 1:00 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:00 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:00 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RSKD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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