SAIL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SAIL - SailPoint, Inc. Common Stock
$14.01
0.30 (2.19%)
▲
5d:
-11.61%
30d:
-4.76%
90d:
+33.56%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 09, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SAIL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SAIL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.18
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.18
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SAIL is currently trading at $14.01, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.05 to $16.28. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 51.8) is in line with its historical norms (54.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SAIL is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $13.38, while resistance sits at $16.95.
Market Sentiment: SAIL has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.90 (+34.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SAIL is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $13.38, while resistance sits at $16.95.
Market Sentiment: SAIL has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.90 (+34.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$13.05 -
$16.28
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
50.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding SAIL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 34.9% below Wall St target ($18.90)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-11.6%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$13.05 -
$16.28
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.38
Resistance Level
$16.95
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
51.75
Wall Street Target
$18.90
(+34.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
21.6%
Profit Margin
-14.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
51.8 vs 54.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.81
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$13.62
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$13.43
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 52→54)
$14.04
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 51.8, Growth: 42.8%)
$40.84
(+192%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 42.8%)
$17.19
(+23%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 42.8%)
$14.61
(+4%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 51.8 to 54.1
Stabilization Target:
$14.64
(+4.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 6:19 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:19 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:19 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SAIL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Brian Carolan
SELL
47444 shares
2026-04-09
Chandrasekar Gnanasamban…
SELL
20082 shares
2026-04-09
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SELL
18813 shares
2026-04-09
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Advanced SAIL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SAIL price and gamma walls.
