SAIL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SAIL - SailPoint, Inc. Common Stock
$12.74
0.10 (0.83%)
▲
5d:
-10.38%
30d:
-15.16%
90d:
+1.56%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 09, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: SAIL is down 10.4% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: SAIL is down 10.4% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.18
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.18
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SAIL is currently trading at $12.73, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.59 to $17.73. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 46.7) compared to its historical average (54.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SAIL is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $12.79. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.10 (+51.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SAIL is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $12.79. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.10 (+51.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$13.59 -
$17.73
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding SAIL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 51.3% below Wall St target ($19.10)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -10.4% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$13.59 -
$17.73
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.80
Resistance Level
$18.44
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
46.66
Wall Street Target
$19.10
(+51.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
21.6%
Profit Margin
-14.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
46.7 vs 54.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.01
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$11.42
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$10.86
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 47→54)
$12.64
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 46.7, Growth: 42.8%)
$36.82
(+192%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 42.8%)
$17.19
(+36%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 42.8%)
$14.61
(+16%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 46.7 to 54.3
Stabilization Target:
$14.70
(+16.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+16.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 11:05 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:05 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:05 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SAIL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Brian Carolan
SELL
47444 shares
2026-04-09
Chandrasekar Gnanasamban…
SELL
20082 shares
2026-04-09
Christopher Schmitt
SELL
18813 shares
2026-04-09
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Advanced SAIL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SAIL price and gamma walls.
