SailPoint (SAIL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SAIL - SailPoint, Inc. Common Stock

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
$17.24
-0.40 (-2.27%) ▼
5d: -11.09%
30d: -7.96%
90d: +19.56%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your SAIL Gains
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 09, 2026 0d
Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 8, 2026 at $18.09 · last confirmed Sep 11, 2026

Strength: 7.7/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SAIL is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.18
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.18
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SAIL is currently trading at $17.24, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.73 to $19.56. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 63.7) compared to its historical average (56.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SAIL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $16.62, while resistance sits at $20.90.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.84 (+20.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $17.73 - $19.56
Company Quality Score 56/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 80.5%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (41/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 20.9% below Wall St target ($20.84)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (41/100) — watch for confirmation
  • CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-11.1%) - monitor closely

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $17.73 - $19.56
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $16.62
Resistance Level $20.90
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 63.69
Wall Street Target $20.84 (+20.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 16.8%
Profit Margin -16.9%
Valuation Premium vs History +4.2% premium
PE vs Historical 63.7 vs 56.3 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +4.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $17.96 (+4%)
2-Year Target $18.72 (+9%)
3-Year Target $19.50 (+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 64→56) PE COMPRESSION $17.24 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 63.7, Growth: 42.8%) $50.25 (+192%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 42.8%) $15.92 (-8%)
Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: 42.8%) $13.53 (-22%)
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Last updated: September 12, 2026 2:06 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:06 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Brian Carolan SELL 47444 shares 2026-04-09
Chandrasekar Gnanasamban… SELL 20082 shares 2026-04-09
Christopher Schmitt SELL 18813 shares 2026-04-09

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Advanced SAIL Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SAIL price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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