What is the fair value of SAIL stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for SAIL to be between $19.40 and $20.86. The current price is $20.06.

What is the analyst price target for SAIL?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for SAIL is $21.88. This implies a potential upside of 9.1% from current levels.

SailPoint (SAIL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SAIL - SailPoint, Inc. Common Stock

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE

$20.06

0.38 (1.93%) ▲

5d: +1.57%

30d: -6.31%

90d: +34.18%

BUY

HIGH Confidence

Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Dec 08, 2026

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Oct 5, 2026 at $19.87 · last confirmed Oct 20, 2026

Strength: 5.6/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SAIL shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 25.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$13.18

Based on 14.5% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$8.18

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SAIL is currently trading at $20.06, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.40 to $20.86. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 74.1) compared to its historical average (58.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SAIL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $18.32, while resistance sits at $21.10.

Market Sentiment: SAIL scores 79/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR

Historical Trading Range $19.40 - $20.86

Company Quality Score 64/100 (BUY)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 77.6%

All Signals

NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
BULLISH: Strong technical setup (79/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($21.88)
NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 7.9% growth which is achievable
BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 79/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $19.40 - $20.86

Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $18.32

Resistance Level $21.10

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Oct 22, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 74.10

Wall Street Target $21.88 (+9.1%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 16.8%

Profit Margin -16.9%

Valuation Premium vs History +7.9% premium

PE vs Historical 74.1 vs 58.9 STRETCHED

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +7.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $21.64 (+8%)

2-Year Target $23.35 (+16%)

3-Year Target $25.20 (+26%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 74→59) PE COMPRESSION $20.03 (0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 74.1, Growth: 42.8%) $58.47 (+192%)

Base: (SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 42.8%) $15.67 (-22%)

Bear: (PE: 16.9, Growth: 42.8%) $13.32 (-34%)

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Last updated: October 22, 2026 8:30 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:30 PM

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Technical Signals Check

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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Advanced SAIL Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SAIL price and gamma walls.

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More Analysis for SAIL

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SailPoint, Inc. Common Stock

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE

About

SailPoint Inc delivers solutions to enable comprehensive identity security for the enterprise. The company does this by unifying identity data across systems and identity types, including employee identities, non-employee identities, and machine identities. The SaaS and customer-hosted offerings of the company leverage intelligent analytics to give organizations critical visibility into which identities currently have access to which resources, which identities should have access to those resources, and how that access is being used. Its solutions enable organizations to establish, control, and automate policies that help them define and maintain a robust security posture and achieve regulatory compliance.

Exchange: XNAS

Market Cap: $12,685,718,305

Listed Since: 2025-02-13

Website: Visit

Phone: (512) 346-2000

Address:

11120 FOUR POINTS DRIVE
AUSTIN, TX 78726

CIK: 0002030781

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