SAIL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SAIL - SailPoint, Inc. Common Stock
$16.77
0.60 (3.71%)
▲
5d:
+12.17%
30d:
+9.54%
90d:
+46.85%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 08, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SAIL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SAIL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.18
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.18
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SAIL is currently trading at $16.77, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.63 to $15.92. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 62.0) compared to its historical average (54.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SAIL is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $16.88. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: SAIL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.90 (+12.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SAIL is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $16.88. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: SAIL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.90 (+12.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$13.63 -
$15.92
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.3% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.7%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($18.90)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$13.63 -
$15.92
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.25
Resistance Level
$16.88
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
61.95
Wall Street Target
$18.90
(+12.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
21.6%
Profit Margin
-14.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.5% premium
PE vs Historical
62.0 vs 54.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.52
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$18.31
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$19.14
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 62→54)
PE COMPRESSION
$16.74
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 62.0, Growth: 42.8%)
$48.88
(+192%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 42.8%)
$16.36
(-3%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 42.8%)
$13.90
(-17%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 12:40 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:40 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:40 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SAIL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Brian Carolan
SELL
47444 shares
2026-04-09
Chandrasekar Gnanasamban…
SELL
20082 shares
2026-04-09
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SELL
18813 shares
2026-04-09
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Advanced SAIL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SAIL price and gamma walls.
