SCSC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SCSC - Scansource Inc
$49.19
-0.14 (-0.28%)
▼
5d:
-0.32%
30d:
+15.23%
90d:
+36.79%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 20, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SCSC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.6% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SCSC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.6% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$59.42
Based on 8.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$36.89
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SCSC is currently trading at $49.19, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $44.58 to $49.41. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 11.2) compared to its historical average (9.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SCSC is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $50.63. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $54.67 (+11.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SCSC is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $50.63. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $54.67 (+11.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$44.58 -
$49.41
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($54.67)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 6.6% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$44.58 -
$49.41
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$47.18
Resistance Level
$50.64
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.15
Wall Street Target
$54.67
(+11.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
5.4%
Profit Margin
2.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.6% premium
PE vs Historical
11.2 vs 9.2
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$52.44
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$55.90
(+14%)
3-Year Target
$59.59
(+21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$49.18
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 11.9%)
$134.75
(+174%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.1, Growth: 11.9%)
$68.96
(+40%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.2, Growth: 11.9%)
$56.92
(+16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.99 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.29
Bull Case
$72.78
(+48%)
Analyst growth 34.1%, PE expands to 16.5
Base Case
$66.17
(+35%)
Market implied 34.1%, PE stable at 15.0
Bear Case
$33.54
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 4:09 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:09 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:09 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SCSC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael L Baur
SELL
3827 shares
2026-03-16
Michael L Baur
SELL
21173 shares
2026-03-13
Charles Alexander Mathis
BUY
6000 shares
2026-02-11
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